Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles)
Hasbro, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a play and entertainment company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Consumer Products, Wizards of the Coast and Digital Gaming, and Entertainment segments. The Consumer Products segment engages in the sourcing, marketing, and sale of toy and game products. This segment also promotes its brands through the out-licensing of trademarks, characters, and other brand and intellectual property rights to third parties through the sale of branded consumer products, such as toys and apparels. Its toys and games include action figures, arts and crafts and creative play products, fashion and other dolls, play sets, preschool toys, plush products, sports action blasters and accessories, vehicles and toy-related specialty products, games, and other consumer products; and licensed products, such as apparels, publishing products, home goods and electronics, and toy products. The Wizards of the Coast and Digital Gaming segment engages in the promotion of its brands through the development of trading card, role-playing, and digital game experiences based on Hasbro and Wizards of the Coast games. The Entertainment segment engages in the development, acquisition, production, distribution, and sale of world-class entertainment content, including film, scripted and unscripted television, family programming, digital content, and live entertainment. The company sells its products to retailers, distributors, wholesalers, discount stores, drug stores, mail order houses, catalog stores, department stores, and other traditional retailers, as well as ecommerce retailers; and directly to customer through Hasbro PULSE e-commerce website. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Pawtucket, Rhode Island.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Hasbro, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $612.7M | $580.6M | $550.2M | $521.3M | $494M | $468.1M | $443.6M | $420.3M | $398.3M | $377.4M | $357.6M | $3.576B |
DCF | $504.9M | $416M | $342.8M | $282.4M | $232.7M | $191.8M | $158M | $130.2M | $107.3M | $88.4M | $884M | |
Value | $3.338B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 23% | 24% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 11% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | -30% | -30% |
ROA | 15% | 15% | 15% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | -24% | -23% |
ROE | 27% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 7.6% | 14% | 7.1% | -140% | -140% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.05%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -5.51%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.13%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -4.43%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -13.07%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -22.07%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 4.20 | 3.08 | 3.16 | 3.40 | 7.87 | 6.54 | 6.21 | 20.08 | 7.72 | 6.50 |
Debt Equity | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 0.98 | 1.36 | 1.89 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 3.67 | 3.87 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 85% | 48% | 100% | 59% | 100% | 52% | -520% | -520% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 6.50.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 1.65.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -5.23.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 12% | 1.8% | -2.9% | -15% | -5.3% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | 0.32% |
Stockholders Equity | -7.4% | -9.1% | -28% | -62% | -5.7% |
FCF | -2.6% | 0.42% | -15% | 160% | 4% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.79%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -5.34%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.32%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -9.13%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -5.72%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +0.42%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.01%.