Granite Construction Inc
GVA
Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors
Mkt Cap
$2.739BPE
112.37Debt
$593.2MCash
$321.8MEV
$3.011BFCF
$156.7MP/E Ratio
112.37Debt
$593.2MCash
$321.8MEV
$3.011BFCF
$156.7MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":25346000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":60485000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":57122000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":69098000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":582000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-60191000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-166181000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2414000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":78857000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":29587000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2275270000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2371029000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2514617000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2989713000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3318414000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3445606000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3562459000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3010053000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3301256000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3509138000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.01113977681769636},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.02551002117645967},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.02271598418367489},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.023111917431539414},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.00017538498812987168},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.01746891548250148},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.046647835104909274},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.0008019792342526859},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.02388696908085892},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.008431415350436488}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1620494000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1627860000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1733453000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1871978000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2476601000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2502088000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2379996000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2494927000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2167933000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":2813540000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":817106000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":870121000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":922591000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":992805000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1397634000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":1178416000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":991610000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":995563000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":985145000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1026966000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.0310192312870056},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.06951332056116333},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.06191475962804753},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.06959876310050815},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.0004164180321886846},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.05107788760505628},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.16758705539476204},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.0024247586541484567},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.08004608458653295},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.02881010666370649}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.04017293491984543},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.06776258400599561},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.05558962371636266},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.05580354042622296},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.025904455340202154},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.030805471270394968},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.06653162442289819},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.00044049385012066486},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.04235232361885723},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.028455966504830215}]}
Granite Construction Incorporated operates as an infrastructure contractor and a construction materials producer in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Construction and Materials segments. The Construction segment engages in the construction and rehabilitation of roads, pavement preservation, bridges, rail lines, airports, marine ports, dams, reservoirs, aqueducts, infrastructure, and site development for use by the public. The Materials segment is involved in the production of aggregates and asphalt for internal use, as well as for sale to third parties. It also focuses on water-related construction for municipal agencies, commercial water suppliers, industrial facilities, and energy companies; and constructs various complex projects, including infrastructure/site development, mining, public safety, tunnel, solar, and power projects. In addition, the company offers site preparation, mining, and infrastructure services for residential development, energy development, commercial and industrial sites, and other facilities; and provides construction management professional services. It serves federal agencies, state departments of transportation, local transit authorities, county and city public works departments, school districts and developers, utilities, contractors, landscapers, manufacturers of products requiring aggregate materials, retailers, homeowners, farmers, brokers, and private owners of industrial, commercial, and residential sites. The company was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Watsonville, California.
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Granite Construction Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $156.7M | $201.3M | $253.3M | $312.1M | $376.5M | $444.4M | $513M | $578.7M | $637.8M | $686.3M | $720.7M | $7.207B |
| DCF | $175M | $191.5M | $205.2M | $215.3M | $221M | $221.8M | $217.6M | $208.5M | $195.1M | $178.1M | $1.781B | |
| Value | $3.81B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth -9%
Earnings Stability -25%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.018% | -1.7% | -4.7% | 0.08% | 2.4% | 0.84% | 0.67% |
| ROA | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | -3.1% | -6.7% | 0.044% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| ROE | 7% | 6.2% | 7% | 0.042% | -5.1% | -17% | 0.24% | 8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.51%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.61%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is 0%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.85%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -1.78%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.02%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 11.41 | -13.71 | 2.86 | -17.39 | 80.82 | 1.98 | -4.78 | -4.39 | 16.03 | 3.79 |
| Debt Equity | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 0.94% | -140% | -5.3K% | - | - | - | -5.3K% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.79.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -2.72.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -52.54.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.9% | 1.1% | -0.5% | 6.3% | -0.95% |
| Net Income | -9% | 120% | - | -62% | 190% |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.5% | -6% | 1.2% | 4.2% | -1.7% |
| FCF | - | - | -37% | - | - |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.12%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.95%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +119.4%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +193.44%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -5.98%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.69%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.