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Group 1 Automotive Inc

GPI

Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Mkt Cap

$3.856B

PE

6.09

Debt

$2.118B

Cash

$52.9M

EV

$5.922B

FCF

$245.4M

Market Cap

$3.856B

P/E Ratio

6.09

Debt

$2.118B

Cash

$52.9M

EV

$5.922B

FCF

$245.4M

Group 1 Automotive, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive retail industry in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company sells new and used cars, light trucks, and vehicle parts, as well as service and insurance contracts; arranges related vehicle financing; and offers automotive maintenance and repair services. Group 1 Automotive, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquarters in Houston, Texas.

Sector

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Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$245.4M$319M$405.9M$505.1M$614.5M$730.6M$848.3M$961.4M$1.063B$1.146B$1.203B$12.03B
DCF$277.4M$306.9M$332.1M$351.3M$363.2M$366.7M$361.4M$347.5M$325.6M$297.3M$2.973B
Value$6.303B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 26%
Earnings Stability 66%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201909-202012-202012-202112-2022TTM
Net Margin0.85%1.3%1.9%1.3%1.4%-2.5%4%4.5%3.6%
ROA6.3%7.6%7%6.8%6.5%-9.6%15%16%14%
ROE9.8%15%18%14%13%-19%29%33%24%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.74%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.68%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +10.91%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +2.1%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +21.63%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +4.03%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201909-202012-202012-202112-2022TTM
Debt FCF62.845.87-84.9011.328.33-1.921.824.848.63
Debt Equity1.421.441.281.331.19-0.931.120.930.81
MIN
Graham Stability-100%100%100%100%-100%100%100%100%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 8.63.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -1.62.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201809-202012-2021Trend
Revenue5.9%6.9%-20%1.8%
Net Income26%37%-37%6.6%
Stockholders Equity13%15%-23%3.4%
FCF9.5%27%--61%-57%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.93%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.79%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +36.81%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.63%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.35%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.45%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +27.26%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -56.73%.