Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
General Motors Company designs, builds, and sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts; and provide software-enabled services and subscriptions worldwide. The company operates through GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial segments. It markets its vehicles primarily under the Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Baojun, and Wuling brand names. The company also sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts through retail dealers, and distributors and dealers, as well as to fleet customers, including daily rental car companies, commercial fleet customers, leasing companies, and governments. In addition, it offers range of after-sale services through dealer network, such as maintenance, light repairs, collision repairs, vehicle accessories, and extended service warranties; and safety and security services for retail and fleet customers, including automatic crash response, emergency services, roadside assistance, crisis assist, stolen vehicle assistance, and turn-by-turn navigation. Further, the company provides connected services comprising mobile applications for owners to remotely control their vehicles and electric vehicle owners to locate charging stations, on-demand vehicle diagnostics, GM Smart Driver, Amazon Alexa in-vehicle voice, Google's Voice Assistant, navigation and app ecosystem, connected navigation, SiriusXM with 360L, and 4G LTE wireless connectivity. Additionally, the company provides automotive financing and insurance services; and software-enabled services and subscriptions. General Motors Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of General Motors Co
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $12.33B | $13.81B | $15.37B | $16.98B | $18.62B | $20.28B | $21.93B | $23.54B | $25.09B | $26.54B | $27.86B | $278.6B |
DCF | $12.01B | $11.62B | $11.16B | $10.65B | $10.08B | $9.481B | $8.85B | $8.201B | $7.543B | $6.887B | $68.87B | |
Value | $165.4B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 1.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | -2.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
ROA | 2.4% | 4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
ROE | 7.8% | 24% | 21% | -11% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 13% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.34%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.4%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.95%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.17%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +10.34%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.95%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 16.02 | 15.56 | 12.12 | 10.72 | 16.34 | 13.99 | 9.68 | 14.31 | 17.08 | - |
Debt Equity | 1.32 | 1.58 | 1.94 | 2.63 | 2.48 | 2.26 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 1.62 | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | -54% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | -54% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.61.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -0.54.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 0.41% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 23% | 1.3% |
Net Income | -1.1% | - | 11% | -9.4% | -9.3% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.6% | 15% | 16% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
FCF | 7.5% | -5.2% | -2.9% | -11% | -2.4% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.49%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.27%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -9.27%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +14.72%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.13%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -5.19%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.36%.