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GEO Logo

Geo Group Inc

GEO

General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs

Mkt Cap

$1.703B

PE

20.10

Debt

$1.76B

Cash

$195.3M

EV

$3.268B

FCF

$202M

Market Cap

$1.703B

P/E Ratio

20.10

Debt

$1.76B

Cash

$195.3M

EV

$3.268B

FCF

$202M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":143840000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":139315000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":148498000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":146024000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":144827000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":166412000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":112831000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":70436000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":142467000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":89102000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1691620000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1843307000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2179490000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2263420000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2331386000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2477922000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2350098000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2256612000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2376727000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":2413167000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.0850309171090434},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.07557883738302952},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.06813428829680337},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.0645147608486273},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.06212055832882243},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.06715788471146387},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.048011189320615565},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.031213163804854355},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.05994251758826319},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.03692326308125381}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3002208000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":3503342000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":3749409000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":4226908000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":4247463000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":4317534000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":4460126000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":4537408000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3760383000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3696406000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1045993000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1006837000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":975056000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1199241000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1040503000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":996830000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":913102000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":976211000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1166398000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1291768000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.1375152606183789},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.1383689713429284},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.1522968937168737},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.12176368219565542},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.13918941127512366},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.166941203615461},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.1235688893464257},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.0721524342585773},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.12214269914728934},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.06897678220856995}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.07976729127362261},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.07059173783204722},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.07419702678475461},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.0709646389275565},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.07049384538488034},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.07517068771201338},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.0562685897214563},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.07102777621055897},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.1048749555563888},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.09640174807637472}]}

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO's diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care®, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 102 facilities totaling approximately 82,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees.

Sector

  • IBP Logo

    IBP

  • LEN Logo

    LEN

Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$202M$197.3M$192.8M$188.3M$184M$179.8M$175.6M$171.6M$167.6M$163.7M$160M$1.6B
DCF$171.6M$145.8M$123.8M$105.2M$89.37M$75.92M$64.49M$54.79M$46.54M$39.54M$395.4M
Value$1.312B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth -6.3%
Earnings Stability 34%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin7.6%6.8%6.5%6.2%6.7%4.8%3.1%6%3.7%3.5%
ROA7.1%7.4%7.1%7%7.5%5.6%7.1%10%9.6%9.4%
ROE14%15%12%14%17%12%7.2%12%6.9%6.5%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +5.09%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.47%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +7.9%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.67%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.55%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -1.53%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF--24.6111.3939.5012.658.9014.0010.138.938.72
Debt Equity2.142.772.212.992.803.243.061.791.471.34
MIN
Graham Stability--100%100%100%74%50%100%82%50%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 8.72.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -4.44.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.50.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue1.5%0.69%0.89%1.5%-1.5%
Net Income-7%-9.3%-7.6%-37%0.78%
Stockholders Equity4.1%4.4%12%11%1.6%
FCF-22%-14%2.7%-8.4%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +0.69%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.54%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -9.26%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.78%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.42%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.64%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +21.88%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.38%.