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Gcm Grosvenor Inc.

GCMG

Investment Advice

Mkt Cap

$407.4M

PE

-13.95

Debt

$389M

Cash

$44.35M

EV

$752M

FCF

$88.3M

Market Cap

$407.4M

P/E Ratio

-13.95

Debt

$389M

Cash

$44.35M

EV

$752M

FCF

$88.3M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-78649000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":21482000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":19820000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-29206000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2018-12-30","value":378496000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":416394000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":429981000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":531592000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":446530000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":444999000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.18291273335333422},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.04041069090580746},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.044386715338275144},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.06563160816091722}],"Assets":[{"time":"2019-12-30","value":373156000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":631891000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":581624000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":488933000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":504943000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-66000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":-25710000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-19820000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-27634000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":-0.8355503695060288},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":-1},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1.0568864442353623}],"ROA":[{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.2277036949693962},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.0646598859613446},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.26316314319904266},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.18221924067305745},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":-0.023460073711290184}]}

GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally. The firm invests in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and other specialty portfolios. It focuses in hedge fund asset classes, private equity, real estate, and/or infrastructure, credit and absolute return strategies. It also focuses in primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments with a focus on buyout, distressed debt, mezzanine, venture capital/growth equity investments. The firm seeks to do seed investments in small, emerging, and diverse private equity firms. The firm seeks to make regionally-focused investments in middle-market buyout. It prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. It focuses on Ohio and the Midwest region. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis. GCM Grosvenor Inc. was founded in 1971 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices in North America, Asia, Australia and Europe.

Sector

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Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$88.3M$114.8M$146M$181.7M$221.1M$262.9M$305.2M$345.9M$382.5M$412.2M$432.8M$4.328B
DCF$99.82M$110.4M$119.5M$126.4M$130.7M$132M$130.1M$125M$117.2M$107M$1.07B
Value$2.268B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 2.6%
Earnings Stability -120%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin0%0%-18%4%4.4%-6.6%-6.6%
ROA-23%-6.5%26%18%-2.3%-2.3%
ROE-0%--84%-100%110%110%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.73%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.08%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +11.7%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -2.55%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is -19.47%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +14.95%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF--5.092.231.824.414.41
Debt Equity--6795.45--15.44-19.83-14.08-14.08
MIN
Graham Stability-------

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.41.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.25.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue3.3%1.2%-0.34%-4%
Net Income----
Stockholders Equity----
FCF-5.3%9.7%-59%-2.8%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.29%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -4%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -5.34%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.84%.