Services-Prepackaged Software
Fastly, Inc. operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer's applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally. The edge cloud is a category of Infrastructure as a Service that enables developers to build, secure, and deliver digital experiences at the edge of the internet. It is a programmable platform designed for web and application delivery. The company offers Compute@Edge; network services to speed up and optimize the delivery of web and application traffic; device detection and geolocation; content delivery network, such as dynamic site acceleration, origin shield, instant purge, surrogate keys, programmatic control, content compression, reliability, and modern protocols and performance services; and streaming solutions and services, including live streaming and media shield. It also provides edge security solutions, such as DDoS protection, next-gen WAF, bot protection, API and ATO protection, advanced rate limiting, and compliance services; transport layer security (TLS) and platform TLS; and origin connect. In addition, the company offers edge applications, such as load balancers and image optimizers; video on demand; and edge delivery services. It serves customers operating in digital publishing, media and entertainment, technology, online retail and education, SaaS, travel and hospitality, and financial services industries. The company was formerly known as SkyCache, Inc. and changed its name to Fastly, Inc. in May 2012. Fastly, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Fastly, Inc.
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $11.27M | $112.7M |
DCF | $9.8M | $8.522M | $7.41M | $6.444M | $5.603M | $4.872M | $4.237M | $3.684M | $3.204M | $2.786M | $27.86M | |
Value | $84.42M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -31% | -21% | -26% | -33% | -63% | -44% | -26% | -25% |
ROA | - | -18% | -14% | -8.7% | -10% | -10% | -8.7% | -8.8% |
ROE | 30% | 23% | -20% | -9% | -22% | -20% | -14% | -13% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -35.56%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -3.13%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -11.6%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.6%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -10.19%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -5.66%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | -0.65 | 0.00 | -12.94 | -7.86 | -32.36 | 30.51 | ||
Debt Equity | - | -0.39 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 0.74 | 0.35 | 0.35 | ||
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 30.51.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -7.13.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 28% | 20% | 17% | -5.1% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - |
Stockholders Equity | - | -2.7% | 2.5% | -93% |
FCF | - | - | - | - |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +28.47%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -5.07%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +33.89%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -93%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -20.63%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.