Formfactor Inc
FORM
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Mkt Cap
$4.534BPE
44.09Debt
$14.12MCash
$194.4MEV
$4.354BFCF
$35.54MP/E Ratio
44.09Debt
$14.12MCash
$194.4MEV
$4.354BFCF
$35.54MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":-19185000},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":-1523000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":-6557000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":40913000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":104036000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":39346000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":78523000},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":83924000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":50738000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":82387000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":268530000},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":282358000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":383881000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":548441000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":529675000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":589464000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":693616000},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":769674000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":747937000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":663102000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":-0.07144453133728075},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":-0.005393861693311328},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":-0.017080814106454865},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.07459872620755925},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.19641478264973805},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.06674877515844903},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.11320817282184956},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":0.10903837209000174},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.06783726436852301},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.12424483714421009}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":344243000},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":342723000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":618982000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":646574000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":728222000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":839882000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":963217000},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":1020520000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1008228000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":1106794000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":289436000},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":294681000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":401056000},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":458637000},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":580164000},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":640997000},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":744084000},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":815780000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":808285000},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":908804000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":-0.06628408352796474},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":-0.005168300636959967},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":-0.01634933774834437},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.08920562449170041},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.17932170903399727},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.06138250257021484},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.10552975201724536},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":0.1028757753315845},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.06277241319584058},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.09065431050039392}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-26","value":-0.059719442370650966},{"time":"2015-12-25","value":-0.003708534297377182},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":-0.0772300325372951},{"time":"2017-12-29","value":0.0722222050376291},{"time":"2018-12-28","value":0.051139625004462924},{"time":"2019-12-27","value":0.0630779085633458},{"time":"2020-12-25","value":0.08932462778377043},{"time":"2021-12-24","value":0.09651942147140673},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.05739773146550185},{"time":"2023-12-29","value":0.08065367177631971}]}
FormFactor, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, metrology systems, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems to semiconductor companies and scientific institutions. It operates in two segments, Probe Cards and Systems. The company offers probe cards to test various semiconductor device types, including systems on a chip products, mobile application processors, microprocessors, microcontrollers, and graphic processors, as well as radio frequency, analog, mixed signal, image sensor, electro-optical, dynamic random access memory, NAND flash memory, and NOR flash memory devices; and analytical probes, which are used for a range of applications, including device characterization, electrical simulation model development, failure analysis, and prototype design debugging for universities, research institutions, semiconductor integrated device manufacturers, semiconductor foundries, and fabless semiconductor companies. It also provides probe systems for semiconductor design engineers to capture and analyze accurate data; surface metrology systems for the development, production, and quality control of semiconductor products; thermal subsystems, such as thermal chucks and other test systems used in probe stations and other applications; and precision cryogenic instruments, semiconductor tests, and measurement systems. In addition, the company offers on-site probe card maintenance and service training, seminars, and telephone support services. The company markets and sells its products through direct sales force, manufacturers' representatives, and distributors in the United States, China, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and internationally. FormFactor, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Livermore, California.
Sector
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Formfactor Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $35.54M | $36.94M | $38.39M | $39.9M | $41.47M | $43.11M | $44.8M | $46.56M | $48.39M | $50.3M | $52.28M | $522.8M |
| DCF | $32.12M | $29.03M | $26.24M | $23.71M | $21.43M | $19.37M | $17.5M | $15.82M | $14.3M | $12.92M | $129.2M | |
| Value | $341.7M | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 23%
Earnings Stability 15%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | -0.54% | -1.7% | 7.5% | 20% | 6.7% | 11% | 11% | 6.8% | 12% | 15% |
| ROA | -0.37% | -7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10% |
| ROE | -0.52% | -1.6% | 8.9% | 18% | 6.1% | 11% | 10% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.29%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -1.03%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +7.3%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.39%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +10.04%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -1.26%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 0.00 | 44.87 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.01 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 1.81 | 0.40 |
| Debt Equity | 0.00 | 0.66 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | 85% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.40.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.08.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.75.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8.1% | 4.6% | -1.5% | -11% | -3.8% |
| Net Income | - | -4.6% | 1.6% | 62% | -14% |
| Stockholders Equity | 12% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 12% | -1.5% |
| FCF | 5.5% | -29% | -58% | -87% | -47% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.6%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.75%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -4.56%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -13.84%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.39%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.47%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -29.38%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -46.82%.