Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies
Federal National Mortgage Association provides financing solutions for mortgages in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Single-Family and Multifamily. The Single-Family segment securitizes and purchases single-family fixed-rate or adjustable-rate, first-lien mortgage loans, or mortgage-related securities backed by these loans; and loans that are insured by Federal Housing Administration, loans guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs and Rural Development Housing and Community Facilities Program of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, manufactured housing mortgage loans, and other mortgage-related securities. The Multifamily segment securitizes multifamily mortgage loans into Fannie Mae mortgage backed securities (MBS); purchases multifamily mortgage loans; and provides credit enhancement for bonds issued by state and local housing finance authorities to finance multifamily housing. This segment also issues structured MBS backed by Fannie Mae multifamily MBS; buys and sells multifamily agency mortgage-backed securities; and invests in low-income housing tax credit multifamily projects. Federal National Mortgage Association was founded in 1938 and is based in Washington, the District of Columbia.
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -1.2% | 0.35% | -28% | 15% | 0.86% | 0.059% | 0.26% | 0.01% | 0.01% | -0.0034% |
ROA | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.66% | 0.38% | 0.51% | 0.52% |
ROE | -6.5% | 1.3% | 180% | 54% | 1.3% | 0.059% | 0.16% | 0.005% | 0.0039% | -0.0012% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.74%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.25%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.78%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.72%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +9.19%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -7.77%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | 787.80 | 537.36 | -903.43 | 543.58 | 235.54 | 155.33 | 87.75 | 69.87 | 54.14 | 51.24 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6.6% | 3.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.03.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | -2.3% | 1.5% |
Net Income | -37% | -75% | -42% | 0% | 18% |
Stockholders Equity | 44% | 66% | 45% | 29% | 1.6% |
FCF | - | - | - | - | - |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.78%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.54%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -75.42%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +18.46%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +65.59%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.58%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.