Five Below, Inc
FIVE
Retail-Variety Stores
Mkt Cap
$7.361BPE
24.45Debt
-Cash
$179.7MEV
-FCF
$164.6MP/E Ratio
24.45Debt
-Cash
$179.7MEV
-FCF
$164.6MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":48004000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":57680000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":71840000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":102451000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":149645000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":175056000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":123361000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":278810000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":261528000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":301106000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":680218000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":831954000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":1000410000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":1278208000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":1559563000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":1846730000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":1962137000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":2848354000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":3076308000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":3559369000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.07057149325657362},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.06933075626777442},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.07181055767135475},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.08015205662928099},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.09595316123811606},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.09479241686656956},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.06287073736441441},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.09788460282675539},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.08501359421748407},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.08459533136350854}],"Assets":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":294862000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":393294000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":500536000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":695708000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":952264000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":1958661000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":2314770000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":2880460000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":3324911000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":3872037000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":174269000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":244481000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":331405000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":458558000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":615094000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":759778000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":881886000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":1120284000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":1361929000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":1584956000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.2754592038744699},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.23592835435064483},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.21677403780872345},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.22341993815395217},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.24328801776639017},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.23040414436848658},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.13988315950134145},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.2488743925647425},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.19202763139635032},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.18997751357135467}],"ROA":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.2611933718146116},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.2363143093970414},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.22887464637908161},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.23042282106860926},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.2062768307948216},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.11531040848824783},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.0668761907230524},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.13188171333745305},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.10452430155273329},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.10358914442191539}]}
Five Below, Inc. operates as a specialty value retailer in the United States. The company offers range of accessories, which includes novelty socks, sunglasses, jewelry, scarves, gloves, hair accessories, athletic tops and bottoms, and t-shirts, as well as nail polish, lip gloss, fragrance, and branded cosmetics; and personalized living space products, such as glitter lamps, posters, frames, fleece blankets, plush items, pillows, candles, incense, lighting, novelty décor, accent furniture, and related items, as well as provides storage options. It provides assortment of sports balls, team sports merchandise, and fitness accessories including hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls; offers various games, which includes board games, puzzles, collectibles, and toys including remote control; and summer season sports, such as pool, beach and outdoor toys, and games and accessories. In addition, the company offers accessories for cell phones, tablets, audio, and computers, as well as cases, chargers, headphones, and other related items; and media products including books, video games, and DVDs. It also provides assortment of craft activity kits, and arts and crafts supplies, such as crayons, markers, and stickers; and school products comprising backpacks, fashion notebooks and journals, novelty pens and pencils, and locker accessories. Further, the company offers party products, which includes party goods, decorations, gag gifts, and greeting cards, as well as every day and special occasion merchandise; assortment of classic and novelty candy bars, movie-size box candy, seasonal-related candy, and gum and snack foods, as well as sells chilled drinks through coolers; and provides seasonally-specific items used to celebrate and decorate for events. The company was formerly known as Cheap Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Five Below, Inc. in August 2002. Five Below, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
![BJ Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>BJ</text></svg>){kind=small}
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Five Below, Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $164.6M | $194.4M | $226.8M | $261.3M | $297.3M | $333.8M | $370M | $404.7M | $436.8M | $465M | $488.2M | $4.882B |
| DCF | $169.1M | $171.5M | $171.8M | $170M | $166M | $160M | $152.2M | $142.8M | $132.2M | $120.7M | $1.207B | |
| Value | $2.763B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 24%
Earnings Stability 88%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| ROA | 24% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 12% | 6.7% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| ROE | 24% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 25% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.69%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.15%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.14%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -1.37%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +20.74%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.78%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.87.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 01-2017 | 02-2019 | 01-2021 | 01-2023 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20% | 18% | 22% | 16% | -0.74% |
| Net Income | 23% | 15% | 35% | 15% | -0.35% |
| Stockholders Equity | 25% | 21% | 22% | 16% | -3% |
| FCF | 15% | 19% | -0.24% | 160% | 5.2% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +17.94%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.74%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.01%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.35%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +20.84%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.97%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.51%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.16%.