Investment Advice
Federated Hermes, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, including high net worth individuals, banking or thrift institutions, investment companies, pension and profit sharing plans, pooled investment vehicles, charitable organizations, state or municipal government entities, and registered investment advisors. Through its subsidiaries, it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, balanced and money market mutual funds along with separate client-focused equity, fixed income, money market, and balanced portfolios. Through its subsidiaries, the firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap companies. The firm makes its fixed income investments in ultra-short, short-term, and intermediate-term mortgage-backed, U.S. Government, U.S. corporate, high yield, and municipal securities. It employs both fundamental and quantitative analysis to make its equity investments. Federated Hermes, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania with additional offices in New York City and London, United Kingdom.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Federated Hermes, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $312.7M | $322M | $331.6M | $341.5M | $351.7M | $362.1M | $372.9M | $384M | $395.5M | $407.3M | $419.4M | $4.194B |
DCF | $280M | $250.7M | $224.5M | $201.1M | $180M | $161.2M | $144.4M | $129.3M | $115.8M | $103.7M | $1.037B | |
Value | $2.827B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 18% | 18% | 25% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 18% |
ROA | 24% | 30% | 29% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 20% |
ROE | 25% | 34% | 37% | 25% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 22% | 25% | 25% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +18.9%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.53%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +19.56%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.58%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +24.62%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.34%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1.40 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.11 |
Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 82% | 100% | 82% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.11.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.13.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.82.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 11% | -0.5% |
Net Income | 5.1% | 6.1% | -3.1% | 25% | -2.2% |
Stockholders Equity | 9.6% | 5.7% | -0.26% | 7.9% | -0.85% |
FCF | 3.4% | 10% | -5.5% | -4.9% | 1.3% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.22%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.5%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.12%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.16%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.65%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.85%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.97%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.33%.