Natural Gas Transmission
DT Midstream, Inc. provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. It develops, owns, and operates an integrated portfolio of interstate pipelines, intrastate pipelines, storage systems, lateral pipelines, gathering systems, related treatment plants, and compression and surface facilities. The company engages in the transportation and storage of natural gas for intermediate and end user customers; and collecting natural gas from points at or near customers' wells for delivery to plants for processing, to gathering pipelines for gathering, or to pipelines for transportation, as well as offers compression, dehydration, gas treatment, water impoundment, water storage, water transportation, and sand mining services. It serves natural gas producers, local distribution companies, electric power generators, industrials, and national marketers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Dt Midstream, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $153M | $93.53M | $57.18M | $34.96M | $21.37M | $13.06M | $7.987M | $4.883M | $2.985M | $1.825M | $1.116M | $11.16M |
DCF | $81.33M | $43.24M | $22.98M | $12.22M | $6.495M | $3.453M | $1.836M | $975.8K | $518.7K | $275.8K | $2.758M | |
Value | $176.1M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 40% | 41% | 37% | 40% | 42% | 42% |
ROA | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
ROE | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9% | 9.3% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +41.65%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +5.57%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +8.97%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | 0.00 | 7.19 | 8.86 | 125.54 | 20.61 | ||||
Debt Equity | - | 0.00 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.76 | 0.73 | ||||
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 20.61.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 6.9% | 0.22% | -15% |
Net Income | 7.2% | 3.8% | -13% |
Stockholders Equity | 0.41% | 3% | -2.3% |
FCF | -31% | -93% | -57% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -15%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -12.53%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.33%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -56.95%.