Dollar Tree, Inc.

  • Earnings Score
  • Moat Score
  • Safety Score
  • Market Cap $13.66B
  • PE -13
  • Debt $3.43B
  • Cash $644.40M
  • EV $16.44B
  • FCF $464.90M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings-$1.07B
EBIT-$965.60M
ROE-14%
ROA-4%
FCF$464.90M
Equity$7.38B
Growth Stability-165%
PE-12.82
PEG-2.77
PB1.85
P/FCF29.38
P/S0.44
Price/Cash0.05
Debt/Equity0.46
Debt/FCF7.38
Net Margins3%
Gross Margins31%
Op. Margins-3%
Earnings CAGR4%
Sales Growth YoY1%
Sales Growth QoQ-3%
Sales CAGR6%
FCF CAGR-7%
Equity CAGR10%
Earnings Stability0.14
Earnings Growth YoY-34%
Earnings Growth QoQ-56%
Earnings CAGR 5Y5%
Sales CAGR 5Y6%
FCF CAGR 5Y-23%
Equity CAGR 5Y6%
Earnings CAGR 3Y7%
Sales CAGR 3Y7%
FCF CAGR 3Y5%
Equity CAGR 3Y-1%
Market Cap$13.66B
Revenue$30.97B
Assets$22.62B
Total Debt$3.43B
Cash$644.40M
Shares Outstanding214.99M
EV16.44B
Earnings Score8%
Moat Score26%
Safety Score50%
Final Score28%
Working Capital92.4M
Current Ratio1.02
Shares Growth 3y-2%
Equity Growth QoQ1%
Equity Growth YoY-18%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 8,647 shops under its namesake banner and 8,016 Family Dollar units (as of the end of fiscal 2021). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Around 45% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2021 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and just over 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2021 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 8% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

  • 2024
    • 10-Q Aug 03
    • 10-Q May 04
    • 10-K Feb 03
  • 2023
    • 10-Q Oct 28
    • 10-Q Jul 29
    • 10-Q Apr 29
    • 10-K Jan 28
  • 2022
    • 10-Q Oct 29
    • 10-Q Jul 30
    • 10-Q Apr 30
    • 10-K Jan 29

Sector Comparison

How does Dollar Tree, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Dollar Tree, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 4%
Stability 14%
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Dollar Tree, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Dollar Tree, Inc..

= $3B
012345678910TV
fcf$465M$433M$403M$375M$349M$325M$303M$282M$262M$244M$227M$2.3B
DCF$393M$333M$282M$238M$202M$171M$145M$122M$104M$88M$876M
Value$3B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years01/201501/201601/201702/201802/201901/202001/202101/202201/202302/2024TTM
Net Margins7%2%4%8%-7%4%5%5%6%-3%3%
ROA-7%11%12%-7%6%9%8%10%-4%-4%
ROE-6%17%24%-28%13%18%17%18%-14%-14%

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years01/201501/201601/201702/201802/201901/202001/202101/202201/202302/2024TTM
Debt over FCF-25.215.97.574.534.521.788.339.355.927.38
Debt over Equity0.421.721.210.930.760.60.440.440.390.470.46
Growth Stability---100%-165%100%100%100%100%-70%-165%

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years01/201501/201601/201702/201802/201901/202001/202101/202201/202302/2024CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth-80%34%7%3%3%8%3%8%8%6%
Earnings YoY growth--53%217%91%-193%-152%62%-1%22%-162%5%
Equity YoY growth-147%22%33%-21%11%16%6%13%-16%6%
FCF YoY growth--50%269%-21%8%-12%118%-77%-11%59%-23%