Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods retailer primarily in the United States. The company provides hardlines, includes sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and hunting and fishing gear products; apparel; and footwear and accessories. It also owns and operates Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Field & Stream, Public Lands, Going Going Gone!, and other specialty concept stores; and DICK'S House of Sports and Golf Galaxy Performance Center, as well as GameChanger, a youth sports mobile application for video streaming, scorekeeping, scheduling, and communications. The company sells its product through e-commerce websites and mobile applications. The company was formerly known as Dick'S Clothing and Sporting Goods, Inc. and changed its name to DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. in April 1999. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $939.9M | $1.121B | $1.319B | $1.531B | $1.754B | $1.98B | $2.205B | $2.42B | $2.617B | $2.79B | $2.929B | $29.29B |
DCF | $974.7M | $997.4M | $1.007B | $1.003B | $984.5M | $953.1M | $909.7M | $855.6M | $793M | $724.1M | $7.241B | |
Value | $16.44B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 12% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
ROA | 15% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 14% |
ROE | 18% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 23% | 72% | 41% | 40% | 40% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.93%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.24%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +13.21%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.74%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +35.04%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +6.8%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Debt Equity | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 96% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.00.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.01.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.96.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 01-2017 | 02-2019 | 01-2021 | 01-2023 | Trend |
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Revenue | 7.3% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 0.32% |
Net Income | 20% | 27% | 25% | 0.32% | 6.5% |
Stockholders Equity | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
FCF | 16% | 13% | -11% | 69% | 9.4% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.01%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.32%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +26.75%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.5%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.57%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.27%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +12.81%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +9.38%.