Electronic Computers
Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG). The ISG segment provides traditional and next-generation storage solutions, including all-flash arrays, scale-out file, object platforms, hyper-converged infrastructure, and software-defined storage; and rack, blade, tower, and hyperscale servers. This segment also offers networking products and services that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure, mobilize and enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate business applications and processes; attached software and peripherals; and support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The CSG segment provides desktops, workstations, and notebooks; displays, docking stations, and other electronics; and third-party software and peripherals, as well as support and deployment, configuration, and extended warranty services. The company is also involved in the provision of cybersecurity technology-driven security solutions to prevent security breaches, detect malicious activity, respond rapidly when a security breach occurs, and identify emerging threats; originating, collecting, and servicing customer financing arrangements; and infrastructure-as-a-service solutions, as well as in the resale of VMware products and services. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in August 2016. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Dell Technologies Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $5.92B | $6.394B | $6.885B | $7.39B | $7.908B | $8.436B | $8.97B | $9.509B | $10.05B | $10.58B | $11.11B | $111.1B |
DCF | $5.56B | $5.206B | $4.859B | $4.521B | $4.194B | $3.878B | $3.575B | $3.285B | $3.008B | $2.747B | $27.47B | |
Value | $68.3B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 01-2016 | 02-2017 | 02-2018 | 01-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 02-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -2.2% | -2.8% | -4.9% | -2.5% | 5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
ROA | -1.1% | -2.8% | -2.7% | -0.17% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
ROE | -75% | -9% | -26% | 250% | 150% | 43% | -310% | -80% | -140% | -140% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.8%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.7%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.23%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.36%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -16.17%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -84.38%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 01-2016 | 02-2017 | 02-2018 | 01-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 02-2023 | 02-2024 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 10.10 | 37.22 | 10.82 | 10.04 | 8.57 | 5.88 | 4.40 | 64.84 | 5.61 | 5.61 |
Debt Equity | 11.57 | 2.98 | 4.04 | -62.16 | 19.14 | 7.26 | -20.92 | -12.05 | -14.38 | -14.38 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | 57% | 90% | 57% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 5.61.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 4.15.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.57.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 02-2017 | 01-2019 | 01-2021 | 02-2023 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 5.2% | -0.49% | -2.1% | -14% | -2.4% |
Net Income | - | - | -0.57% | 32% | 8.1% |
Stockholders Equity | - | - | - | - | -49% |
FCF | 21% | 0.3% | -14% | 950% | 52% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -0.49%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.42%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +8.12%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +19.64%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -48.53%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +0.3%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +51.56%.