Real Estate
Cushman & Wakefield plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial real estate services under the Cushman & Wakefield brand in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates through Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Asia Pacific segments. It offers integrated facilities management, project and development, portfolio administration, transaction management, and strategic consulting services; property management services, including client accounting, engineering and operations, lease compliance administration, project and development, and sustainability services; and self-performed facilities services, which include janitorial, maintenance, critical environment management, landscaping, and office services. The company also provides owner representation and tenant representation leasing services; capital market services, including investment sales and equity, and debt and structured financing for real estate purchase and sales transactions; and appraisal management, investment management, valuation advisory, portfolio advisory, diligence advisory, dispute analysis and litigation support, financial reporting, and property and/or portfolio valuation services on real estate debt and equity decisions. Cushman & Wakefield has strategic partnerships with Vanke Service (Hong Kong) Co., Limited. It serves real estate owners and occupiers, such as tenants, investors, and multi-national corporations. The company was founded in 1784 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Cushman & Wakefield Plc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
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0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $197.1M | $183.7M | $171.2M | $159.6M | $148.7M | $138.6M | $129.2M | $120.4M | $112.2M | $104.6M | $97.49M | $974.9M |
DCF | $159.7M | $129.5M | $104.9M | $85.04M | $68.92M | $55.86M | $45.27M | $36.69M | $29.73M | $24.1M | $241M | |
Value | $980.7M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Net Margin | -7% | -3.2% | -2.3% | 0.0023% | -2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | -0.37% | 0.13% |
ROA | - | -3% | 0.19% | 2.6% | -0.72% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% |
ROE | -74% | -44% | -14% | 0.015% | -20% | 17% | 12% | -2.1% | 0.75% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.14%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.59%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +2.96%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.9%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -1.13%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +3.73%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM | |
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Debt FCF | - | -23.73 | -31.71 | 14.49 | -42.17 | 6.74 | -2066.06 | 33.50 | 16.87 | |
Debt Equity | - | 5.87 | 2.01 | 2.11 | 3.05 | 2.31 | 1.99 | 2.02 | 2.05 | |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | -47% | -47% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 16.87.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -167.62.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -0.47.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 6.2% | 2.9% | 6.6% | -6.1% | -2.2% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | 0% |
Stockholders Equity | 16% | 4.3% | 15% | 0.96% | -8.1% |
FCF | - | - | - | - | - |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.92%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.19%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -28.22%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is 0%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.29%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.11%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.