Commvault Systems Inc
CVLT
Services-Prepackaged Software
Mkt Cap
$3.198BPE
-176.14Debt
-Cash
$283.3MEV
-FCF
$174.1MP/E Ratio
-176.14Debt
-Cash
$283.3MEV
-FCF
$174.1MCommvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection platform that helps customers to secure, defend, and recover their data in the United States and internationally. The company offers Commvault Backup and Recovery, a backup and recovery solution; Commvault Disaster Recovery, a replication and disaster recovery solution; Commvault Complete Data Protection, a data protection solution; and Metallic Data Protection as-a-service, which delivers enterprise-grade data protection as a service on a cloud platform, with advanced built-in security controls. It also provides Commvault HyperScale X, an easy-to-deploy scale-out solution; and Metallic Recovery Reserve, an easy button to adopt secure and scalable cloud storage in minutes. In addition, the company provides technology consulting, Ransomware recovery, education, and remote managed services. Further, it sells appliances that integrate the software with hardware for use in a range of business needs and use cases; and offers customer support, consulting, assessment and design, and installation services, as well as customer education and as-a-service under the Metallic brand. The company sells its products and services directly through its sales force, and indirectly through its network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, corporate resellers, and original equipment manufacturers to large enterprises, small or med-sized businesses, and government agencies. It supports customers in a range of industries, including banking, insurance and financial services, government, healthcare, pharmaceuticals and medical services, technology, legal, manufacturing, utilities, and energy. Commvault Systems, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
Sector
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![QTWO Logo](data:image/svg+xml,<svg xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg' width='18' height='18'><defs><linearGradient id="a" x1="3.349" x2="21.904" y1="3.122" y2="24.434" gradientUnits="userSpaceOnUse"><stop stop-color="%231A1E21"/><stop offset="1" stop-color="%2306060A"/></linearGradient></defs><path fill="url(%23a)" d="M0 0h18v18H0z"/><text x='50%' y='52%' dominant-baseline='middle' text-anchor='middle' font-size='5' font-family='sans-serif' fill='gray'>QTWO</text></svg>)
QTWO
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Commvault Systems Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $174.1M | $195.1M | $217M | $239.7M | $263M | $286.4M | $309.6M | $332.4M | $354.2M | $374.7M | $393.4M | $3.934B |
| DCF | $169.6M | $164.1M | $157.6M | $150.3M | $142.4M | $133.9M | $125M | $115.8M | $106.5M | $97.24M | $972.4M | |
| Value | $2.335B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 25%
Earnings Stability -44%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 4.2% | 0.023% | 0.083% | -8.9% | 0.5% | -0.84% | -4.3% | 4.4% | -4.6% | -2.3% |
| ROA | 5.5% | 0.39% | 0.054% | -0.12% | 1.3% | -1.5% | -2.3% | 5.3% | -2% | 0.78% |
| ROE | 6.3% | 0.034% | 0.12% | -15% | 0.91% | -1.4% | -7.9% | 13% | -19% | -10% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.28%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.85%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +0.11%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.06%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -4.95%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.31%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 03-2015 | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 1.8% | -710% | - | - | - | - | - | -710% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -7.05.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 03-2016 | 03-2018 | 03-2020 | 03-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.042% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | 180% |
| Stockholders Equity | -10% | -14% | -23% | -27% | -2.9% |
| FCF | 11% | 17% | 25% | -3.6% | 0.83% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.33%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.04%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -10.39%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +178.51%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -14.36%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.94%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.72%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.83%.