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CorVel Corporation provides workers' compensation, auto, liability, and health solutions for employers, third party administrators, insurance companies, and government agencies to assist them in managing the medical costs and monitoring the quality of care associated with healthcare claims. It applies technology, including artificial intelligence, machine learning, and natural language processing to enhance the managing of episodes of care and the related health care costs. The company offers network solutions services, including automated medical fee auditing, preferred provider management and reimbursement services, retrospective utilization review, facility claim review, professional review, pharmacy services, directed care services, Medicare solutions, clearinghouse services, independent medical examinations, and inpatient medical bill review. It also provides a range of patient management services, such as claims management, case management, 24/7 nurse triage, utilization management, vocational rehabilitation, and life care planning, as well as processing of claims for self-insured payors with respect to property and casualty insurance. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Corvel Corp
Growth
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%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $70M | $77.84M | $86.02M | $94.46M | $103.1M | $111.8M | $120.5M | $129M | $137.2M | $145M | $152.3M | $1.523B |
DCF | $67.68M | $65.04M | $62.11M | $58.94M | $55.58M | $52.08M | $48.49M | $44.85M | $41.22M | $37.64M | $376.4M | |
Value | $910M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | 03-2024 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8% | 8.4% | 10% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
ROA | 21% | 20% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
ROE | 22% | 21% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 31% | 33% | 31% | 31% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.89%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.41%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +18.43%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +27.48%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.94%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 03-2016 | 03-2017 | 03-2018 | 03-2019 | 03-2020 | 03-2021 | 03-2022 | 03-2023 | 03-2024 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 03-2017 | 03-2019 | 03-2021 | 03-2023 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 6.3% | 5.9% | 13% | 11% | 1.1% |
Net Income | 15% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 1% |
Stockholders Equity | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4% | 22% | -0.068% |
FCF | 19% | 2% | -3.2% | 25% | -2.2% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.95%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.06%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.3%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.03%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.92%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.07%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.01%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.22%.