Cerence Inc.

CRNC

Services-Prepackaged Software

Mkt Cap

$711.6M

PE

-2.59

Debt

$326.9M

Cash

$86.1M

EV

$952.4M

FCF

-$15.34M

Market Cap

$711.6M

P/E Ratio

-2.59

Debt

$326.9M

Cash

$86.1M

EV

$952.4M

FCF

-$15.34M

Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobility/transportation market worldwide. The company offers edge software components; cloud-connected components and related toolkits and applications; and virtual assistant coexistence and professional services. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence Inc. is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

Sector

10-K
9/30/23
10-Q
6/30/23
10-Q
3/31/23
10-Q
12/31/22
10-K
9/30/22
10-Q
6/30/22
10-Q
3/31/22
10-Q
12/31/21
10-K
9/30/21
10-Q
6/30/21
10-Q
3/31/21
10-Q
12/31/20
10-K
9/30/20
10-Q
6/30/20
10-Q
3/31/20
10-Q
12/31/19
10-K
9/30/19

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth -38%

Earnings Stability -68%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Data are missing

Years	09-2018	09-2019	09-2020	09-2021	09-2022	TTM
Net Margin	2.1%	33%	-6.3%	12%	-95%	-100%
ROA	-	0.75%	1.1%	3.7%	-14%	-20%
ROE	0.59%	9.4%	-2.2%	4.4%	-44%	-39%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -94.8%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is -13.98%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is -43.6%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Under the assumption that FCF does not diminish and debt does not increase, the current years to repay the debt are acceptable.

The Graham’s stability indicate a relevant drawdown, consider checking when it has occured and why.

Years	09-2018	09-2019	09-2020	09-2021	09-2022	TTM
Debt FCF	-	-	11.82	4.79	-15.16	-21.31
Debt Equity	-	-	0.32	0.29	0.42	0.47
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	-	100%	-740%	-740%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -21.31.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -7.43.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has not been increasing in the past years.

Years	09-2019	09-2021	Trend
Revenue	2.6%	-15%	-6.6%
Net Income	-	-	0%
Stockholders Equity	-13%	-31%	-9.7%
FCF	-	-	83%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -6.57%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is 0%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -9.73%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +82.51%.