Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc., a non-clinical contract research organization, provides drug discovery, non-clinical development, and safety testing services in the United States, Europe, Canada, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Research Models and Services (RMS), Discovery and Safety Assessment (DSA), and Manufacturing Solutions (Manufacturing). The RMS segment produces and sells rodent research model strains and purpose-bred rats and mice for use by researchers. This segment also provides a range of services to assist its clients in supporting the use of research models in research and screening non-clinical drug candidates, including research models, genetically engineered models and services, insourcing solutions, and research animal diagnostic services. The DSA segment offers early and in vivo discovery services for the identification and validation of novel targets, chemical compounds, and antibodies through delivery of non-clinical drug and therapeutic candidates ready for safety assessment; and safety assessment services, such as toxicology, pathology, safety pharmacology, bioanalysis, drug metabolism, and pharmacokinetics services. The Manufacturing segment provides in vitro methods for conventional and rapid quality control testing of sterile and non-sterile pharmaceuticals and consumer products. This segment also offers specialized testing of biologics that are outsourced by pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies; and avian vaccine services that provide specific-pathogen-free (SPF) fertile chicken eggs, SPF chickens, and diagnostic products used to manufacture vaccines. The company also provides contract vivarium operation services to biopharmaceutical clients. Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $413.6M | $442.4M | $472.2M | $503M | $534.7M | $567.2M | $600.5M | $634.5M | $668.9M | $703.8M | $739M | $7.39B |
DCF | $384.7M | $357M | $330.7M | $305.7M | $282M | $259.6M | $238.5M | $218.7M | $200.1M | $182.7M | $1.827B | |
Value | $4.587B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 11% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 10% | 9.6% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
ROA | 10% | 8.8% | 10% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
ROE | 20% | 18% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 12% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.14%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.4%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +8.12%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.05%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +15.77%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.54%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 3.84 | 4.74 | 4.86 | 5.54 | 5.62 | 5.30 | 5.01 | 9.19 | 7.26 | 6.44 |
Debt Equity | 1.17 | 1.48 | 1.09 | 1.26 | 1.17 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 6.44.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.54.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.86.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 14% | 13% | 12% | 3.9% | -0.45% |
Net Income | 17% | 16% | 9.2% | -2.4% | -0.042% |
Stockholders Equity | 23% | 22% | 19% | 21% | 0.85% |
FCF | 4.9% | 3.9% | -1.3% | 24% | -1.1% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +12.75%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.45%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.96%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.04%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +22.24%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.85%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.95%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.07%.