Conocophillips

Energy
Integrated oil Companies
www.conocophillips.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score

Market Cap $104.05B
PE 11
Debt $25.36B
Cash $5.91B
EV $123.50B
FCF -

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$9.22B
EBIT	$14.61B
ROE	14%
ROA	12%
Equity	$64.80B
Growth Stability	-64%
PE	11.29
PEG	0.15
PB	1.61
P/S	1.9
Price/Cash	0.06
Debt/Equity	0.39
Net Margins	17%
Gross Margins	63%
Op. Margins	27%
Earnings CAGR	13%
Sales Growth YoY	-3%
Sales Growth QoQ	9%
Sales CAGR	12%
FCF CAGR	7%
Equity CAGR	4%
Earnings Stability	0.05
Earnings Growth YoY	-23%
Earnings Growth QoQ	12%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	77%

Sales CAGR 5Y	25%
FCF CAGR 5Y	22%
Equity CAGR 5Y	12%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-9%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-9%
FCF CAGR 3Y	-5%
Equity CAGR 3Y	5%
Market Cap	$104.05B
Revenue	$54.75B
Dividend Yield	4%
Payout Ratio	40%
Assets	$122.78B
Total Debt	$25.36B
Cash	$5.91B
Shares Outstanding	1.18B
EV	123.5B
Earnings Score	7%
Moat Score	94%
Working Capital	3.52B
Current Ratio	1.29
Gross Profit	$34.73B
Shares Growth 3y	-4%
Equity Growth QoQ	30%
Equity Growth YoY	31%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. In 2021, it produced 1.0 million barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 3.2 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2021 were 6.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Conocophillips (COP) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Conocophillips compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Conocophillips compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 13%

Stability 5%

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Conocophillips Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Conocophillips.

Years

Calculation mode

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
DCF		$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
Value	$0

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-14%	-15%	-3%	16%	20%	-14%	17%	24%	19%	17%	17%
ROA	-	-5%	-2%	15%	15%	-4%	15%	31%	18%	12%	12%
ROE	-	-10%	-3%	20%	21%	-9%	18%	39%	22%	14%	14%

Good Net Margins (16.84%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	-58.53	10.06	2.63	4.08	226.72	1.81	0.94	-	-	-
Debt over Equity	0.62	0.77	0.81	0.51	0.52	0.66	0.47	0.36	0.41	0.39	0.39
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	100%	-64%	100%	100%	100%	74%	-64%

Neutral Debt/FCF ratio (-)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.39)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-64%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-21%	34%	19%	-5%	-47%	151%	62%	-28%	-2%	25%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-18%	-76%	-832%	15%	-138%	-398%	131%	-41%	-16%	77%
Equity YoY growth	-	-12%	-13%	4%	9%	-15%	52%	6%	3%	31%	12%
FCF YoY growth	-	-81%	-633%	149%	-28%	-98%	13K%	56%	-	-	22%