Cohu Inc
COHU
Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals
Mkt Cap
$1.518BPE
29.30Debt
$41.36MCash
$293.4MEV
$1.266BFCF
$110.1MP/E Ratio
29.30Debt
$41.36MCash
$293.4MEV
$1.266BFCF
$110.1MCohu, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor test equipment and services in China, the United States, Taiwan, Malaysia, the Philippines, and internationally. The company supplies semiconductor test and inspection handlers, micro-electromechanical system (MEMS) test modules, test contactors, thermal sub-systems, and semiconductor automated test equipment for semiconductor manufacturers and test subcontractors. It also provides semiconductor automated test equipment for wafer level and device package testing; various test handlers, including pick-and-place, turret, gravity, strip, and MEMS and thermal sub-systems; interface products comprising test contactors, and probe heads and pins; spares and kits; various parts and labor warranties on test and handling systems, and instruments; and training on the maintenance and operation of its systems, as well as application, data management software, and consulting services on its products. In addition, the company offers data analytics product that includes DI-Core, a software suite used to optimize Cohu equipment performance, which provides real-time online performance monitoring and process control. It markets its products through direct sales force and independent sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Cohu Electronics, Inc. and changed its name to Cohu, Inc. in 1972. Cohu, Inc. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Poway, California.
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Cohu Inc
Value
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $110.1M | $134.9M | $162.7M | $193M | $225.2M | $258.3M | $291.4M | $322.9M | $351.7M | $376.1M | $394.9M | $3.949B |
| DCF | $117.3M | $123M | $126.9M | $128.7M | $128.4M | $126M | $121.4M | $115M | $106.9M | $97.61M | $976.1M | |
| Value | $2.167B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 56%
Earnings Stability 38%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 2.6% | 0.093% | 1.1% | 9.3% | -7.2% | -12% | -2.2% | 19% | 12% | 7.5% |
| ROA | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 8.4% | -2.4% | -4.8% | 0.3% | 16% | 10% | 6.2% |
| ROE | 3.5% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 11% | -5.9% | -14% | -2.7% | 19% | 10% | 5.5% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.13%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.88%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.65%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.99%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +2.95%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.34%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | - | - | 0.27 | 12.40 | -502.04 | 10.75 | 1.56 | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Debt Equity | - | - | - | 0.03 | 0.67 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | -270% | -6K% | - | - | 100% | -6K% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.38.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 13.81.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -60.47.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 17% | 18% | 12% | -8.4% | 0.27% |
| Net Income | 130% | 24% | - | -42% | -73% |
| Stockholders Equity | 21% | 26% | 24% | 5.3% | 4% |
| FCF | 31% | 24% | - | 14% | 12% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.17%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.27%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +24.14%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -72.78%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +26.29%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.97%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +23.85%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +11.61%.