Coherent Corp.
COHR
Optical Instruments & Lenses
Mkt Cap
$8.929BPE
-21.54Debt
$4.234BCash
$1.792BEV
$11.37BFCF
$225MP/E Ratio
-21.54Debt
$4.234BCash
$1.792BEV
$11.37BFCF
$225MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":38449000},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":65975000},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":65486000},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":95274000},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":88002000},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":107517000},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":-67029000},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":260321000},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":166534000},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":-403670000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":683261000},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":741961000},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":827216000},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":972046000},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":1158794000},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":1362496000},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":2380071000},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":3105891000},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":3316616000},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":5160100000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":0.05627278594856138},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":0.088919768020152},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":0.07916432951006751},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":0.0980138800015637},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":0.07594274737356252},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":0.0789117913006717},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":-0.028162605233205226},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":0.08381524013560038},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":0.05021202333945202},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":-0.07822910408713009}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":1071926000},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":1058164000},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":1212591000},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":1477297000},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":1761661000},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":1953773000},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":5234714000},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":6512650000},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":7844846000},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":13711133000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":675043000},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":729081000},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":782338000},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":900563000},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":1024311000},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":1133209000},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":2076803000},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":3406170000},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":3616475000},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":4987551000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":0.05695785305528685},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":0.09049063135646108},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":0.08370550836083636},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":0.10579382008810044},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":0.08591336029780018},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":0.09487834988956141},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":-0.03227508820046966},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":0.07642630872798481},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":0.04604870765040544},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":-0.0809355132408671}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-06-29","value":0.046756958969182576},{"time":"2015-06-29","value":0.0784141210625196},{"time":"2016-06-29","value":0.07672496332234034},{"time":"2017-06-29","value":0.08501811077934904},{"time":"2018-06-29","value":0.07978038907599135},{"time":"2019-06-29","value":0.07740407918422458},{"time":"2020-06-29","value":0.007541768279986261},{"time":"2021-06-29","value":0.06333658341842414},{"time":"2022-06-29","value":0.05281097933598697},{"time":"2023-06-29","value":-0.00270728903293404}]}
Coherent Corp. develops, manufactures, and markets engineered materials, optoelectronic components, and devices worldwide. It operates through two segments: Compound Semiconductors and Photonic Solutions. The Compound Semiconductors segment provides optical and electro-optical components and materials used in CO2 lasers, fiber-lasers, and direct diode lasers for materials processing applications; infrared optical components and high-precision optical assemblies for aerospace and defense, medical, and commercial laser imaging applications; semiconductor lasers and detectors for optical interconnects and sensing applications; engineered materials for thermoelectric, ceramics, and silicon carbide various applications; and compound semiconductor epitaxial wafers for applications in optical and wireless communication. The Photonic Solutions segment manufactures transceivers for data centers and telecom optical networks; pump lasers, optical amplifiers, wavelength selective switches, and advanced components for telecom networks; and crystal materials, optics, lasers, and optoelectronic modules in a range of applications, including optical communications, life sciences, and consumer electronics markets. It serves original equipment manufacturers, laser end users, system integrators of high-power lasers, U.S. government prime contractors, and various U.S. government agencies, as well as manufacturers of equipment and devices for industrial, optical communications, electronics, and instrumentation applications. The company was formerly known as II-VI Incorporated and changed its name to Coherent Corp. in September 2022. Coherent Corp. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Saxonburg, Pennsylvania.
Sector
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Coherent Corp.
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $225M | $271.4M | $322.7M | $378.1M | $436.4M | $496.1M | $555.4M | $612.1M | $664M | $708.8M | $744.2M | $7.442B |
| DCF | $236M | $244M | $248.6M | $249.5M | $246.7M | $240.1M | $230.1M | $217.1M | $201.5M | $184M | $1.84B | |
| Value | $4.137B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 16%
Earnings Stability 6%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 06-2015 | 06-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 06-2019 | 06-2020 | 06-2021 | 06-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | -2.8% | 8.4% | 5% | -7.8% | -9% |
| ROA | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8% | 7.7% | 0.75% | 6.3% | 5.3% | -0.27% | -0.84% |
| ROE | 9% | 8.4% | 11% | 8.6% | 9.5% | -3.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | -8.1% | -7.3% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.04%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -2.13%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.64%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -1.23%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +3.17%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -2.49%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 06-2015 | 06-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 06-2019 | 06-2020 | 06-2021 | 06-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 2.54 | 3.95 | -18.27 | 68.18 | 12.95 | 15.04 | 3.46 | 27.58 | 22.60 | 18.82 |
| Debt Equity | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1.16 | 0.43 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | -69% | 100% | 100% | -340% | -340% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 18.82.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -5.59.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -3.37.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 06-2016 | 06-2018 | 06-2020 | 06-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 30% | 35% | 29% | 56% | 4.3% |
| Net Income | - | - | - | - | -12% |
| Stockholders Equity | 30% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 4.7% |
| FCF | 17% | 92% | 7.3% | 100% | 7% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +34.81%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.25%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.83%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +37.24%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.73%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +92.06%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +7.02%.