Services-Business Services, NEC
Conduent Incorporated provides business process services with capabilities in transaction-intensive processing, analytics, and automation in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Commercial Industries, Government Services, and Transportation. The Commercial Industries segment offers business process services and customized solutions to clients in various industries; and end-user customer experience management, transaction processing services, healthcare and human resource, and learning services. The Government Services segment provides government-centric business process services to the United States federal, state, local, and foreign governments for public assistance, program administration, transaction processing, and payment services; medical management and fiscal agent care management services; and government healthcare, payment solutions, child support, and federal services. The Transportation segment offers systems and support comprising mission-critical mobility and payment solutions to government clients. This segment also provides electronic tolling, urban congestion management, and mileage-based user solutions; transit solutions; citation and permit administration, parking enforcement, and curbside demand management solutions; and computer-aided dispatch/automatic vehicle location solutions. Conduent Incorporated was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Conduent Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $11M | $8.914M | $7.224M | $5.854M | $4.744M | $3.844M | $3.116M | $2.525M | $2.046M | $1.658M | $1.344M | $13.44M |
DCF | $7.751M | $5.462M | $3.849M | $2.712M | $1.911M | $1.347M | $949.1K | $668.8K | $471.3K | $332.1K | $3.321M | |
Value | $28.78M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -6.2% | -15% | 3% | -7.7% | -43% | -2.8% | -0.68% | -4.7% | -8% | -5.1% |
ROA | 1.1% | -16% | 1.6% | -4.2% | -45% | -1.9% | -0.62% | -3.6% | -10% | -6.4% |
ROE | -8% | -30% | 5.1% | -13% | -150% | -9.9% | -2.5% | -20% | -47% | -27% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -11.2%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.33%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is -10.95%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +2.69%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -40.11%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +6.43%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | -47.34 | 10.00 | 15.07 | -94.63 | 17.76 | 9.02 | 26.35 | 35.11 | 3.00 |
Debt Equity | 0.01 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.49 | 1.16 | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.49 | 2.11 | 0.05 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.00.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 12.98.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | -7.5% | -7.1% | -3.7% | -3.5% | 0.12% |
Net Income | - | - | - | - | - |
Stockholders Equity | -21% | -28% | -19% | -31% | -0.38% |
FCF | - | -18% | -24% | -27% | 2.5% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -7.15%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.12%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -6.58%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -27.78%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.38%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -18.24%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.46%.