Cable & Other Pay Television Services
Charter Communications, Inc. operates as a broadband connectivity and cable operator company serving residential and commercial customers in the United States. The company offers subscription-based internet, video, and mobile and voice services; a suite of broadband connectivity services, including fixed internet, WiFi, and mobile; security suite that protects computers from viruses and spyware, and threats from malicious actors; in-home WiFi, which provides customers with high performance wireless routers and managed WiFi services to enhance their fixed wireless internet experience; out-of-home WiFi; and Spectrum WiFi services. The company also offers voice communications services using voice over internet protocol technology; and broadband communications solutions, such as internet access, data networking, fiber connectivity, video entertainment, and business telephone services to cellular towers and office buildings for business and carrier organizations. In addition, it provides mobile services; video programming, static IP and business WiFi, and e-mail and security services; sells local advertising across various platforms for networks, such as TBS, CNN, and ESPN; sells advertising inventory to local sports and news channels; and offers Audience App to create data-driven linear TV campaigns for local advertisers. Further, the company offers communications products and managed service solutions; data connectivity services to mobile and wireline carriers on a wholesale basis; and owns and operates regional sports and news networks. It serves approximately 32 million customers in 41 states. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Charter Communications, Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $2.88B | $3.675B | $4.598B | $5.637B | $6.768B | $7.957B | $9.155B | $10.3B | $11.34B | $12.19B | $12.8B | $128B |
DCF | $3.196B | $3.477B | $3.706B | $3.87B | $3.956B | $3.958B | $3.873B | $3.706B | $3.464B | $3.163B | $31.63B | |
Value | $68B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -2.8% | 12% | 24% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
ROA | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
ROE | 590% | 7% | 21% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 11% | 26% | 40% | 31% | 30% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.65%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.34%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.33%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.09%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +19.1%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +7.54%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 68.83 | 23.48 | 22.08 | 28.81 | 18.14 | 11.72 | 10.99 | 17.86 | 30.07 | 34.02 |
Debt Equity | -776.59 | 1.27 | 1.52 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 2.77 | 5.21 | 7.90 | 6.78 | 6.28 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 28% | 34% | 76% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 28% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 34.02.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.14.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.28.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 9.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | -11% |
Net Income | 3.7% | 30% | 12% | -9.9% | -13% |
Stockholders Equity | -16% | -20% | -21% | 17% | -0.25% |
FCF | 2.9% | 4.7% | -23% | -40% | -43% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.59%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -11.24%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +29.94%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -13.26%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -19.77%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.25%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.66%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -42.76%.