Century Aluminum Co

Industrials
Aluminum
www.centuryaluminum.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $1.51B
PE 5
Debt $528.20M
Cash $35.70M
EV $2.00B
FCF -$106.90M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$318.90M
EBIT	$323.80M
ROE	46%
ROA	17%
FCF	-$106.90M
Equity	$694.40M
Growth Stability	1
PE	4.73
PEG	1.36
PB	2.17
P/FCF	-14.1
P/S	0.68
Price/Cash	0.02
Debt/Equity	0.76
Debt/FCF	-4.94
Net Margins	14%
Gross Margins	8%
Op. Margins	15%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	115%
Sales Growth QoQ	109%
Sales CAGR	8%
FCF CAGR	0%
Equity CAGR	-10%
Earnings Stability	0.07
Earnings Growth YoY	-291%

Earnings Growth QoQ	-4K%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	3%
Sales CAGR 5Y	5%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-2%
Equity CAGR 5Y	-3%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-8%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-8%
Equity CAGR 3Y	12%
Market Cap	$1.51B
Revenue	$2.22B
Assets	$1.94B
Total Debt	$528.20M
Cash	$35.70M
Shares Outstanding	92.7M
EV	2B
Earnings Score	7%
Moat Score	96%
Safety Score	66%
Final Score	56%
Working Capital	339.1M
Current Ratio	1.73
Gross Profit	$185.00M
Shares Growth 3y	1%
Equity Growth QoQ	15%
Equity Growth YoY	80%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Century Aluminum Co produces primary aluminum standard grade and value-added products. The firm operates smelter facilities in the United States and Iceland. The majority of revenue is generated from Glencore, which agreed to purchase nearly all of Century Aluminum's North American production. Century purchases nearly all of its alumina from Glencore. The company produces high purity aluminum, standard grade aluminum sow and tee bars, and value-added billet and foundry products. Century also owns a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Century Aluminum Co (CENX) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Century Aluminum Co compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Century Aluminum Co compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 7%

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Century Aluminum Co Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Century Aluminum Co.

Years

Calculation mode

= -$1.1B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$107M	-$108M	-$1.1B
DCF		-$97M	-$88M	-$80M	-$73M	-$67M	-$61M	-$55M	-$50M	-$46M	-$41M	-$415M
Value	-$1.1B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-3%	-19%	3%	-3%	-4%	-8%	-8%	-1%	-2%	14%	14%
ROA	-	-15%	6%	-3%	-4%	-6%	4%	2%	2%	17%	17%
ROE	-	-33%	5%	-9%	-12%	-23%	-40%	-4%	-15%	46%	46%

Good Net Margins (14.36%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	15.74	12.85	-1.84	-7.18	10.71	-3.05	-8.74	45.21	-4.94	-4.94
Debt over Equity	0.25	0.34	0.31	0.37	0.45	0.58	1.07	1.32	1.35	0.76	0.76
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-4.94)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.76)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Good Graham’s Stability (1)

The company has a good stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a good competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-32%	20%	19%	-3%	-13%	38%	26%	-21%	2%	5%
Earnings YoY growth	-	326%	-118%	-248%	22%	53%	36%	-92%	271%	-710%	3%
Equity YoY growth	-	-26%	10%	-8%	-11%	-19%	-23%	-5%	-11%	95%	-3%
FCF YoY growth	-	-171%	23%	-864%	-72%	-170%	-601%	-59%	-118%	-1K%	-2%