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CDW Corporation provides information technology (IT) solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Corporate, Small Business, and Public. The company offers discrete hardware and software products and services, as well as integrated IT solutions, including on-premise, hybrid, and cloud capabilities across hybrid infrastructure, digital experience, and security. Its hardware products comprise notebooks/mobile devices, network communications, desktop computers, video monitors, enterprise and data storage, and others; and software products consists of application suites, security, virtualization, operating systems, and network management. The company also provides advisory and design, software development, implementation, managed, professional, configuration, partner, and telecom services, as well as warranties; delivers and manages mission critical software, systems, and network solutions; and implementation and installation, and repair services to its customers through various third-party service providers. It serves government, education, and healthcare customers; and small, medium, and large business customers. CDW Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Vernon Hills, Illinois.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Cdw Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $1.527B | $1.796B | $2.086B | $2.395B | $2.715B | $3.041B | $3.363B | $3.672B | $3.959B | $4.212B | $4.422B | $44.22B |
DCF | $1.562B | $1.578B | $1.575B | $1.553B | $1.512B | $1.454B | $1.381B | $1.294B | $1.197B | $1.093B | $10.93B | |
Value | $25.13B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 3.1% | 3% | 3.4% | 4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
ROA | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
ROE | 37% | 41% | 53% | 66% | 77% | 61% | 140% | 70% | 54% | 51% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.49%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.24%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.86%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.3%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +77.85%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.05%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 17.54 | 6.08 | 4.71 | 3.97 | 4.26 | 3.48 | 10.24 | 4.98 | 4.33 | 4.10 |
Debt Equity | 3.00 | 3.14 | 3.34 | 3.33 | 3.51 | 3.10 | 9.93 | 3.75 | 3.08 | 2.93 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.10.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.31.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5% | -10% | -0.79% |
Net Income | 15% | 11% | 12% | -0.92% | -4.2% |
Stockholders Equity | 10% | 16% | 16% | 27% | 6.6% |
FCF | 15% | 12% | 7.8% | 20% | -2.7% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.65%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.79%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +11.42%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -4.19%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.93%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.56%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +12.09%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.73%.