Crossamerica Partners Lp

CAPL

Wholesale-Petroleum & Petroleum Products (No Bulk Stations)

Mkt Cap

$752.7M

PE

28.91

Debt

$811.7M

Cash

$6.278M

EV

$1.558B

FCF

$76.63M

Market Cap

$752.7M

P/E Ratio

28.91

Debt

$811.7M

Cash

$6.278M

EV

$1.558B

FCF

$76.63M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":-6171000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":11441000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":10704000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":23158000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":5246000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":18076000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":107456000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":21654000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":63696000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":42592000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2655613000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2214835000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1869806000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2094827000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2445917000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2149429000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":1932323000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3579259000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":4967424000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":4386263000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":-0.0023237572643303073},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.0051656218183295825},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.005724658066130925},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.011054850830164019},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.0021447988627578125},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.008409675313769379},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.05560975054377555},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.0060498555706642075},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.012822742733457019},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.009710316048080108}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":604646000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":853094000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":931989000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":947236000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":866922000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":905256000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":1014342000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":1270142000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1254598000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1181682000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":190522000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":268991000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":221044000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":171337000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":110933000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":78397000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":109668000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":56558000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":-0.03238996021456839},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.04253302155090691},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.04842474801397007},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.13516053158395444},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.04728980555830997},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.2305700473232394},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.9798300324616114},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.38286360903850913}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.014289352778319877},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.030497225393684636},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.034518647752280335},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.03422483942755554},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.040386563035659497},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.047856076071299165},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.11395761981659046},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.028444851048150522},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.07652331663210048},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.07452935730594187}]}

CrossAmerica Partners LP engages in the wholesale distribution of motor fuels, operation of convenience stores, and ownership and leasing of real estate used in the retail distribution of motor fuels in the United States. It operates in two segments, Wholesale and Retail. The Wholesale segment engages in the wholesale distribution of motor fuels to lessee dealers, independent dealers, commission agents, and company operated retail sites. The Retail segment is involved in the sale of convenience merchandise items; and retail sale of motor fuels at company operated retail sites and retail sites operated by commission agents. CrossAmerica GP LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was formerly known as Lehigh Gas Partners LP and changed its name to CrossAmerica Partners LP in October 2014. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

Sector

10-Q
9/30/23
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12/31/18
10-Q
9/30/18
10-Q
6/30/18
10-Q
3/31/18
10-K
12/31/17

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Crossamerica Partners Lp

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$76.63M	$80.24M	$84.03M	$87.99M	$92.15M	$96.49M	$101M	$105.8M	$110.8M	$116M	$121.5M	$1.215B
DCF		$69.78M	$63.54M	$57.86M	$52.68M	$47.97M	$43.68M	$39.78M	$36.22M	$32.98M	$30.03M	$300.3M
Value	$774.9M

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 25%

Earnings Stability 40%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been increasing indicating a higher marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, giving a good sign for continued growth.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Net Margin	0.52%	0.57%	1.1%	0.21%	0.84%	5.6%	0.6%	1.3%	0.97%	0.6%
ROA	3%	3.5%	3.4%	4%	4.8%	11%	2.8%	7.7%	7.5%	5.6%
ROE	4.3%	4.8%	14%	4.7%	23%	98%	38%	-	-	-

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.58%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is 0%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.36%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.49%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +41.01%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +17.56%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

The company has high debt with respect to the cashflow it generates.

The Graham’s stability indicate a relevant drawdown, consider checking when it has occured and why.

Years	12-2015	12-2016	12-2017	12-2018	12-2019	12-2020	12-2021	12-2022	12-2023	TTM
Debt FCF	7.03	8.15	7.02	6.91	11.40	7.95	15.68	6.03	9.34	10.59
Debt Equity	1.65	2.16	3.13	4.73	6.94	4.89	14.87	-	-	-
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	100%	35%	100%	100%	50%	100%	66%	35%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 10.59.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.11.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.35.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has been increasing in past years.

Years	12-2016	12-2018	12-2020	12-2022	Trend
Revenue	13%	12%	31%	-12%	5%
Net Income	22%	52%	-27%	-33%	5.3%
Stockholders Equity	-	-	-	-	-5.7%
FCF	5%	1.6%	6.9%	-37%	-18%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +12.39%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.04%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +52.02%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +5.29%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -5.72%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.63%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -18.15%.