Caleres Inc
CAL
Footwear, (No Rubber)
Mkt Cap
$1.067BPE
7.27Debt
-Cash
$47.1MEV
-FCF
$169.7MP/E Ratio
7.27Debt
-Cash
$47.1MEV
-FCF
$169.7MCaleres, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of footwear business in the United States, Canada, Eastern Asia, and internationally. It operates through Famous Footwear and Brand Portfolio segments. The company offers licensed, branded, and private-label athletic, casual, and dress footwear products. The company provide brand name athletic, casual, and dress shoes, including Nike, Skechers, adidas, Vans, Crocs, Converse, Puma, Birkenstock, New Balance, Under Armour, Dr. Martens, Asics, Timberland, Bearpaw, Skechers, HeyDude, Franco Sarto, Rykä, Vince, Bzees, Veronica Beard, and Zodiac brands, as well as company-owned and licensed brands, such as LifeStride, Dr. Scholl's Shoes, Blowfish Malibu, and Naturalizer. The company also operates naturalizer.com, naturalizer.ca, vionicshoes.com, samedelman.com, allenedmonds.com, drschollsshoes.com, lifestride.com, francosarto.com, ryka.com, bzees.com, and zodiacshoes.com, as well as Vince.com, blowfishshoes.com, and veronicabeard.com websites. In addition, it designs, sources, manufactures, and markets footwear to retail stores, such as online retailers, national chains, department stores, mass merchandisers, and independent retailers. Further, the company wholesales men's apparel, leather goods, and accessories under the Allen Edmonds brand; footwear for women under LifeStride brand; Italian footwear Franco Sarto brand; athletic footwear for women under the Rykä brand; women's shoe collection under the Vince brand; and women's footwear under the Bzees brand; other footwear under Zodiac brand; and women's footwear collection under Veronica Beard brand, as well as Via Spiga brand. The company was formerly known as Brown Shoe Company, Inc. and changed its name to Caleres, Inc. in May 2015. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Sector
DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Caleres Inc
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $169.7M | $172.8M | $176.1M | $179.3M | $182.7M | $186.1M | $189.6M | $193.1M | $196.7M | $200.4M | $204.1M | $2.041B |
| DCF | $150.3M | $133.1M | $117.9M | $104.4M | $92.52M | $81.95M | $72.59M | $64.3M | $56.95M | $50.45M | $504.5M | |
| Value | $1.429B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 8.7%
Earnings Stability -8.3%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 01-2015 | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 3.2% | 81% | 72% | 100% | -6.4% | 2.1% | -21% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| ROA | 11% | 10% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 0.68% | 4.3% | -26% | 11% | 12% | 9.3% |
| ROE | 15% | 14% | 11% | 12% | -0.86% | 9.6% | -220% | 42% | 42% | 31% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +14.73%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -13.45%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.87%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.35%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -18.34%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.57%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 01-2015 | 01-2016 | 01-2017 | 02-2018 | 02-2019 | 01-2020 | 01-2021 | 01-2022 | 01-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | - | 0.00 | - | - | 2.95 | 1.57 | 1.81 | 0.00 | - | - |
| Debt Equity | - | 0.00 | - | - | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.98 | 0.00 | - | - |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 97% | 100% | -7% | 100% | -920% | - | - | -920% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.86.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -9.16.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 01-2016 | 02-2018 | 01-2020 | 01-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 62% | 100% | 0.53% | 6.9% | 61% |
| Net Income | 12% | 16% | 43% | 31% | -3.7% |
| Stockholders Equity | -4.8% | -9.9% | -13% | 32% | 0.99% |
| FCF | -1.1% | -14% | -18% | -53% | -5% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +103.46%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +61.43%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +15.56%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.74%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -9.93%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.99%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -13.76%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -5.04%.