Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
CACI International Inc, together with its subsidiaries, provides expertise and technology to enterprise and mission customers in support of national security missions and government modernization/transformation in the intelligence, defense, and federal civilian sectors. It operates in two segments, Domestic Operations and International Operations. The Domestic Operations segment offers information solutions and services to the U.S. federal government agencies and commercial enterprises in the areas, such as digital solutions, C4ISR, cyber and space, engineering services, enterprise IT, and mission support. The International Operations segment provides a range of IT services, proprietary data, and software products to the commercial and government customers in the United Kingdom, continental Europe, and internationally. The company designs, implements, protects, and manages secure enterprise IT solutions. It also offers software-defined, full-spectrum cyber, electronic warfare, and counter-unmanned aircraft system solutions; and platform integration and modernization and sustainment, as well as system engineering, naval architecture, training and simulation, and logistics engineering. In addition, the company provides enterprise cloud solutions for classified and unclassified networks; and intelligence support that ensures continuous advances in collection, analysis, and dissemination to optimize decision-making. CACI International Inc was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Caci International Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $428.3M | $475M | $523.8M | $574.1M | $625.5M | $677.4M | $729.1M | $779.9M | $829.2M | $876.1M | $919.9M | $9.199B |
DCF | $413.1M | $396.1M | $377.5M | $357.6M | $336.8M | $315.2M | $293.2M | $271.1M | $249M | $227.4M | $2.274B | |
Value | $5.511B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 06-2015 | 06-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 06-2019 | 06-2020 | 06-2021 | 06-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
ROA | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
ROE | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +6.15%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.04%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +8.16%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.04%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +13.11%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.12%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 06-2015 | 06-2016 | 06-2017 | 06-2018 | 06-2019 | 06-2020 | 06-2021 | 06-2022 | 06-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 5.41 | 6.89 | 5.45 | 3.95 | 3.40 | 3.27 | 3.45 | 2.64 | 5.40 | 4.11 |
Debt Equity | 0.75 | 0.95 | 0.72 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.52 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.11.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.15.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 06-2016 | 06-2018 | 06-2020 | 06-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 0.34% |
Net Income | 15% | 5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | -1% |
Stockholders Equity | 10% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | -0.39% |
FCF | 5.6% | 2.7% | -10% | -52% | -3.4% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.45%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.34%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.02%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -1%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.88%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.39%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.73%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.4%.