Peabody Energy Corp

Energy
Coal Mining
www.peabodyenergy.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $1.83B
PE 5
Debt $348.10M
Cash $1.38B
EV $798.91M
FCF $211.50M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$370.90M
EBIT	$516.10M
ROE	10%
ROA	9%
FCF	$211.50M
Equity	$3.71B
Growth Stability	46%
PE	4.94
PEG	-1.27
PB	0.49
P/FCF	8.67
P/S	0.43
Price/Cash	0.75
Debt/Equity	0.09
Debt/FCF	1.65
Net Margins	9%
Op. Margins	12%
Earnings CAGR	2%
Sales Growth YoY	-9%
Sales Growth QoQ	3%
Sales CAGR	4%
FCF CAGR	0%
Equity CAGR	15%
Earnings Stability	0.01
Earnings Growth YoY	-84%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-70%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-4%
Sales CAGR 5Y	11%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-0%
Equity CAGR 5Y	37%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	3%
Sales CAGR 3Y	3%
Equity CAGR 3Y	22%
Market Cap	$1.83B
Revenue	$4.24B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	10%
Assets	$5.95B
Total Debt	$348.10M
Cash	$1.38B
Shares Outstanding	124.05M
EV	798.91M
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	89%
Safety Score	70%
Final Score	55%
Working Capital	953.2M
Current Ratio	2.15
Shares Growth 3y	-5%
Equity Growth QoQ	0%
Equity Growth YoY	3%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Peabody Energy Corp mines and sells coal through approximately 17 coal mines in the United States and Australia. The Company is engaged in the mining of thermal coal for sale to electric utilities and metallurgical coal for sale to industrial customers. Peabody also markets and brokers coal both as principal and agent and trades coal and freight-related contracts. The company operates in the following segment: Seaborne Thermal Mining Seaborne Metallurgical Mining Powder River Basin Mining Midwestern U.S. Mining Other U.S. Thermal Mining and Corporate and Other.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Peabody Energy Corp (BTU) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Peabody Energy Corp compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Peabody Energy Corp compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 2%

Stability 1%

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Peabody Energy Corp Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Peabody Energy Corp.

Years

Calculation mode

= $2.2B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$212M	$212M	$213M	$213M	$214M	$214M	$215M	$215M	$216M	$216M	$217M	$2.2B
DCF		$193M	$176M	$160M	$146M	$133M	$121M	$110M	$101M	$92M	$84M	$836M
Value	$2.2B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-36%	10%	-5%	-65%	11%	26%	15%	9%	9%
ROA	-	9%	1%	-37%	9%	25%	19%	9%	9%
ROE	-	16%	-8%	-191%	20%	39%	21%	10%	10%

Net Margins (8.75%)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	1.15	3.16	-9.03	4.65	0.36	0.44	1.65	1.65
Debt over Equity	7.25	0.41	0.5	1.62	0.66	0.11	0.09	0.09	0.09
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	46%	46%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (1.65)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.09)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (46%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-0%	-17%	-38%	15%	50%	-1%	-14%	11%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-127%	-139%	787%	-119%	260%	-41%	-51%	-4%
Equity YoY growth	-	276%	-23%	-63%	86%	81%	9%	3%	37%
FCF YoY growth	-	-1K%	-65%	-142%	-246%	272%	-20%	-72%	-0%