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Berry Corp (bry)
BRY
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Mkt Cap
$538MPE
11.49Debt
$457MCash
$17.2MEV
$977.8MFCF
$118.5MP/E Ratio
11.49Debt
$457MCash
$17.2MEV
$977.8MFCF
$118.5MBerry Corporation, an independent upstream energy company, engages in the development and production of conventional oil reserves in the western United States. It operates through Exploration and Production (E&P), and Well Servicing and Abandonment (CJWS) segments. The E&P segment engages in the development and production of onshore, low geologic risk, and long-lived conventional oil and gas reserves primarily located in California and Utah. CJWS provides wellsite services in California to oil and natural gas production companies with a focus on well servicing, well abandonment services, and water logistics; and offers rig-based and coiled tubing-based well maintenance and workover services, recompletion services, fluid management services, fishing and rental services, and other ancillary oilfield services. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Sector
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Berry Corp (bry)
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $118.5M | $151.5M | $189.9M | $233.1M | $280.3M | $329.9M | $379.9M | $427.8M | $470.9M | $506.4M | $531.7M | $5.317B |
| DCF | $131.8M | $143.6M | $153.3M | $160.3M | $164M | $164.2M | $160.8M | $153.9M | $144M | $131.4M | $1.314B | |
| Value | $2.822B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 6.2%
Earnings Stability -87%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 8.4% | 7.8% | -50% | -2.2% | 24% | 5.3% |
| ROA | 11% | 0.41% | -19% | -0.97% | 13% | -0.8% |
| ROE | 4.9% | 4.5% | -37% | -2.2% | 31% | 6.6% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +23.7%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.74%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +31.25%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | -43.84 | 17.74 | 3.33 | -39.10 | 1.92 | 3.86 | ||||
| Debt Equity | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.65 | ||||
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.86.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 24% | 50% | 21% |
| Net Income | 79% | - | 0% |
| Stockholders Equity | -6.3% | 16% | 8% |
| FCF | 110% | - | 0% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +20.56%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is 0%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +8.04%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is 0%.