Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

BOOT

Retail-Shoe Stores

Mkt Cap

$3.386B

PE

23.03

Debt

Cash

$75.85M

EV

FCF

$117.3M

Market Cap

$3.386B

P/E Ratio

23.03

Debt

Cash

$75.85M

EV

FCF

$117.3M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":12283000},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":9868000},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":14197000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":28879000},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":39022000},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":47949000},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":59386000},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":192450000},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":170553000},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":146996000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":402684000},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":569020000},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":629816000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":677949000},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":776854000},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":845575000},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":893491000},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":1488256000},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":1657615000},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":1667009000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":0.030502826037289786},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":0.01734209693859618},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":0.02254150418534937},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":0.042597599524448006},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":0.05023080269909146},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":0.05670579191674305},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":0.06646513507131017},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":0.12931243011954932},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":0.1028905988423126},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":0.08817948793317852}],"Assets":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":326704000},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":539326000},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":565581000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":587941000},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":636075000},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":924711000},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":933581000},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":1199855000},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":1517381000},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":1705592000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":142422000},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":161490000},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":179909000},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":214606000},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":264164000},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":321693000},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":394891000},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":599676000},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":776450000},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":943643000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":0.08624369830503714},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":0.061105950832868905},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":0.07891211668121105},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":0.13456753306058544},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":0.14771884132584304},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":0.14905204651639917},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":0.15038580266453275},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":0.32092329858123386},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":0.21965741515873527},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":0.15577501237226365}],"ROA":[{"time":"2015-03-27","value":0.10846515500269358},{"time":"2016-03-25","value":0.05605885864949956},{"time":"2017-03-31","value":0.06686575397688395},{"time":"2018-03-30","value":0.07867286003187395},{"time":"2019-03-29","value":0.10112329520889832},{"time":"2020-03-27","value":0.0796659713142809},{"time":"2021-03-26","value":0.09246760591742977},{"time":"2022-03-25","value":0.21530768301169725},{"time":"2023-03-31","value":0.15275464764617455},{"time":"2024-03-29","value":0.11621419425044208}]}

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc., a lifestyle retail chain, operates specialty retail stores in the United States. The company's specialty retail stores offer western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and kids. It offers boots, shirts, jackets, hats, belts and belt buckles, handbags, western-style jewelry, rugged footwear, outerwear, overalls, denim, and flame-resistant and high-visibility clothing. The company also provides gifts and home merchandise. The company also sells its products through e-commerce websites, including bootbarn.com; sheplers.com; and countryoutfitter.com. The company was formerly known as WW Top Investment Corporation and changed its name to Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. in June 2014. Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is based in Irvine, California.

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3/31/18
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12/30/17

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$117.3M	$152.5M	$194M	$241.4M	$293.7M	$349.2M	$405.5M	$459.5M	$508M	$547.6M	$574.9M	$5.749B
DCF		$132.6M	$146.7M	$158.7M	$167.9M	$173.6M	$175.3M	$172.8M	$166.1M	$155.6M	$142.1M	$1.421B
Value	$3.013B

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 46%

Earnings Stability 92%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been increasing indicating a higher marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, giving a good sign for continued growth.

Years	03-2016	03-2017	03-2018	03-2019	03-2020	03-2021	03-2022	03-2023	03-2024	TTM
Net Margin	1.7%	2.3%	4.3%	5%	5.7%	6.6%	13%	10%	8.8%	8.8%
ROA	5.6%	6.7%	7.9%	10%	8%	9.2%	22%	15%	12%	12%
ROE	6.1%	7.9%	13%	15%	15%	15%	32%	22%	16%	16%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.23%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.12%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +12.63%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +1.19%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +19.06%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.21%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Data are missing

The Graham’s stability indicate reliability of earnings, and consideration about the future are more dependable.

Years	03-2016	03-2017	03-2018	03-2019	03-2020	03-2021	03-2022	03-2023	03-2024	TTM
Debt FCF	-77.66	10.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Debt Equity	1.54	1.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has been increasing in past years.

Years	03-2017	03-2019	03-2021	03-2023	Trend
Revenue	15%	16%	23%	0.57%	-0.87%
Net Income	40%	30%	35%	-14%	1.5%
Stockholders Equity	27%	29%	34%	22%	2.5%
FCF	30%	27%	-2.7%	-	-28%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +16.5%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.87%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +30.38%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.46%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +29%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.53%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +26.84%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -28.07%.