Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
BlackRock, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to institutional, intermediary, and individual investors including corporate, public, union, and industry pension plans, insurance companies, third-party mutual funds, endowments, public institutions, governments, foundations, charities, sovereign wealth funds, corporations, official institutions, and banks. It also provides global risk management and advisory services. The firm manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios. It also launches and manages open-end and closed-end mutual funds, offshore funds, unit trusts, and alternative investment vehicles including structured funds. The firm launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and real estate mutual funds. It also launches equity, fixed income, balanced, currency, commodity, and multi-asset exchange traded funds. The firm also launches and manages hedge funds. It invests in the public equity, fixed income, real estate, currency, commodity, and alternative markets across the globe. The firm primarily invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap, mid-cap, SMID-cap, large-cap, and multi-cap companies. It also invests in dividend-paying equity securities. The firm invests in investment grade municipal securities, government securities including securities issued or guaranteed by a government or a government agency or instrumentality, corporate bonds, and asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a focus on bottom-up and top-down approach to make its investments. The firm employs liquidity, asset allocation, balanced, real estate, and alternative strategies to make its investments. In real estate sector, it seeks to invest in Poland and Germany. The firm benchmarks the performance of its portfolios against various S&P, Russell, Barclays, MSCI, Citigroup, and Merrill Lynch indices. BlackRock, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in New York City with additional offices in Boston, Massachusetts; London, United Kingdom; Gurgaon, India; Hong Kong; Greenwich, Connecticut; Princeton, New Jersey; Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Sydney, Australia; Taipei, Taiwan; Singapore; Sao Paulo, Brazil; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Washington, District of Columbia; Toronto, Canada; Wilmington, Delaware; and San Francisco, California.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Blackrock Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $3.824B | $4.062B | $4.31B | $4.567B | $4.832B | $5.107B | $5.39B | $5.682B | $5.982B | $6.289B | $6.603B | $66.03B |
DCF | $3.532B | $3.259B | $3.003B | $2.763B | $2.539B | $2.33B | $2.136B | $1.955B | $1.788B | $1.632B | $16.32B | |
Value | $41.26B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 29% | 26% | 37% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 49% | 45% | 50% | 51% |
ROA | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
ROE | 12% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 15% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +39.29%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +4.57%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +4.52%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.56%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +13.88%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.13%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 1.77 | 2.28 | 1.32 | 1.73 | 1.88 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 1.50 | 2.07 | 2.58 |
Debt Equity | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.25 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 100% | 98% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.58.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.00.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.98.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | -1.5% | -5% | -12% | -0.44% | -2.1% |
Net Income | 8.2% | 5% | 3.7% | 10% | -0.84% |
Stockholders Equity | 4.4% | 4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | -0.092% |
FCF | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | -14% | -0.021% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -4.96%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.1%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.04%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.84%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.02%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.09%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.88%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.02%.