Drawing & Insulating of Nonferrous Wire
Belden Inc. provides portfolio of signal transmission solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Enterprise Solutions and Industrial Automation Solutions. The Enterprise Solutions segment offers copper cable and connectivity solutions, fiber cable and connectivity solutions, interconnect panels, racks and enclosures, and signal extension and matrix switching systems for use in applications, such as local area networks, data centers, access control, 5G, fiber, and home and building automation. It also provides power, cooling, and airflow management products for mission-critical data center operations; and end-to-end fiber and copper network systems. This segment serves commercial real estate, hospitality, healthcare, education, financial, government, and broadband and wireless service providers, as well as end-markets, including sport venues, stadiums, data centers, military installations, and academia. The Industrial Automation Solutions segment offers infrastructure components and on-machine connectivity systems; and industrial Ethernet switches, network management software, routers, firewalls, gateways, input/output (I/O) connectors/systems, industrial Ethernet cables, optical fiber industrial Ethernet cables, Fieldbus cables, IP and networking cables, I/O modules, distribution boxes, and customer specific wiring solutions. This segment provides its products for use in applications comprising network and fieldbus infrastructure; sensor and actuator connectivity; and power, control, and data transmission; and supplies heat-shrinkable tubing and wire management products to protect and organize wire and cable assemblies. It serves distributors, original equipment manufacturers, installers, and end-users. The company was formerly known as Belden CDT Inc. and changed its name to Belden Inc. in May 2007. Belden Inc. was founded in 1902 and is based in St. Louis, Missouri.
Sector
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Belden Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $245.8M | $243.2M | $240.6M | $238M | $235.4M | $232.9M | $230.4M | $228M | $225.5M | $223.1M | $220.8M | $2.208B |
DCF | $211.4M | $181.9M | $156.5M | $134.6M | $115.8M | $99.63M | $85.71M | $73.73M | $63.43M | $54.57M | $545.7M | |
Value | $1.723B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
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Net Margin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | -19% | -3% | 2.7% | 9.8% | 10% |
ROA | 5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4% | 3.6% | 11% | 11% |
ROE | 9.2% | 8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 9.1% | -41% | -7.3% | 6.7% | 22% | 22% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.08%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +1.17%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.57%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.33%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is -1.02%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +3.36%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2014 | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | TTM |
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Debt FCF | 11.92 | 9.68 | 6.30 | 8.29 | 7.76 | 8.74 | 19.13 | 8.16 | 6.66 | 4.66 |
Debt Equity | 2.19 | 2.13 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.07 | 1.51 | 2.10 | 1.54 | 1.03 | 0.96 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 69% | 100% | -400% | - | - | - | -400% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 4.66.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.10.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at -4.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2017 | 12-2019 | 12-2021 | Trend |
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Revenue | 1.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 0.92% |
Net Income | 21% | 34% | - | 300% | 41% |
Stockholders Equity | 4.8% | -4.4% | 5.8% | 20% | -1% |
FCF | -0.42% | -1.6% | 1.8% | -2.7% | 0.41% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.54%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.92%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +34.3%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +41.1%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -4.43%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.02%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.6%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.41%.