Chemicals & Allied Products
Balchem Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, medical device sterilization, plant nutrition, and industrial markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products. The Human Nutrition & Health segment supplies ingredients in the food and beverage industry. Its products include spray dried and emulsified powders, extrusion and agglomeration, blended lipid systems, liquid flavor delivery systems, juice and dairy bases, chocolate systems, and cereal systems, as well as ice cream bases and variegates. This segment also offers microencapsulation solutions for various applications; and human grade choline nutrients and mineral amino acid chelated products for nutrition and health applications. The Animal Nutrition & Health segment provides microencapsulated products to enhance health and milk production, and delivering nutrient supplements in ruminant animals; chelation technology, which offers enhanced nutrient absorption for various species of production and companion animals; and choline chloride, a nutrient for monogastric animal health. The Specialty Products segment offers ethylene oxide primarily for use in the health care industry; single use canisters for sterilizing re-usable devices; and ammonia. This segment also markets and sells propylene oxide, a fumigant to aid in the control of insects and microbiological spoilage, as well as to reduce bacterial and mold contamination in shell and processed nut meats, processed spices, cacao beans, cocoa powder, raisins, figs, and prunes; and chelated minerals for high value crops. The company sells its products through sales force, independent distributors, and sales agents. Balchem Corporation was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Montvale, New Jersey.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Balchem Corp
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $147.2M | $157.2M | $167.5M | $178.2M | $189.3M | $200.6M | $212.2M | $224.1M | $236.1M | $248.4M | $260.8M | $2.608B |
DCF | $136.7M | $126.7M | $117.2M | $108.2M | $99.73M | $91.74M | $84.23M | $77.2M | $70.62M | $64.48M | $644.8M | |
Value | $1.622B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 11% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
ROA | 11% | 9.6% | 10% | 11% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11% | 8.9% | 10% | 10% |
ROE | 13% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +11.93%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.17%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +9.82%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.11%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +10.8%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.09%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 4.76 | 3.09 | 2.65 | 1.58 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
Debt Equity | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.12.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.19.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
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Revenue | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | -2.1% | 0.83% |
Net Income | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 3% | -1.1% |
Stockholders Equity | 11% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12% | -1.1% |
FCF | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 65% | 2.4% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.46%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.83%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.68%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.14%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.79%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.1%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.07%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.35%.