Brinks Co

Consumer Discretionary
Oil Refining/Marketing
www.brinks.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $3.94B
PE 24
Debt $4.19B
Cash $1.84B
EV $6.29B
FCF $203.50M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$162.90M
EBIT	$453.00M
ROE	52%
ROA	7%
FCF	$203.50M
Equity	$312.50M
Growth Stability	-434%
PE	24.2
PEG	0.42
PB	12.62
P/FCF	19.37
P/S	0.79
Price/Cash	0.47
Debt/Equity	13.4
Debt/FCF	20.58
Net Margins	3%
Gross Margins	25%
Op. Margins	9%
Earnings CAGR	23%
Sales Growth YoY	1%
Sales Growth QoQ	0%
Sales CAGR	7%
FCF CAGR	24%
Equity CAGR	3%
Earnings Stability	0.35
Earnings Growth YoY	-870%
Earnings Growth QoQ	33%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	57%

Sales CAGR 5Y	8%
FCF CAGR 5Y	14%
Equity CAGR 5Y	32%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	6%
Sales CAGR 3Y	6%
FCF CAGR 3Y	9%
Equity CAGR 3Y	1%
Market Cap	$3.94B
Revenue	$5.01B
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	26%
Assets	$6.62B
Total Debt	$4.19B
Cash	$1.84B
Shares Outstanding	42.9M
EV	6.29B
Earnings Score	28%
Moat Score	83%
Safety Score	24%
Final Score	45%
Working Capital	989.5M
Current Ratio	1.52
Gross Profit	$1.27B
Shares Growth 3y	-3%
Equity Growth QoQ	-23%
Equity Growth YoY	-40%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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The Brink's Co is a Global provider of secure logistics and security solutions for cash and other valuables. In 2020, the company acquired the U.K.-based G4S that reorganized its operating segments to be North America, Latin America, Europe, and Rest of World. It generates maximum revenue from the North America segment, namely from its core business of cash-in-transit and ATM services. The Latin America and Europe segments trail North America in revenue earnings with the Brinks Global Services line of business that specializes in the secure transportation of high-valued commodities, such as jewelry, precious metals, banknotes, and electronics. Brink's customer base includes financial institutions, retails, government agencies, mints, and other commercial businesses.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Brinks Co (BCO) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Brinks Co compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Brinks Co compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 23%

Stability 35%

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Brinks Co Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Brinks Co.

Years

Calculation mode

= $11B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$204M	$252M	$311M	$384M	$475M	$587M	$725M	$896M	$1.1B	$1.4B	$1.7B	$17B
DCF		$229M	$257M	$289M	$324M	$364M	$409M	$460M	$517M	$581M	$652M	$6.5B
Value	$11B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	-1%	1%	0%	-1%	1%	0%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%
ROA	-	7%	9%	8%	6%	4%	6%	6%	7%	7%	7%
ROE	-	10%	5%	-20%	14%	8%	42%	30%	17%	52%	52%

Bad Net Margins (3.25%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	11.55	17.19	7.83	8.5	13.24	9.97	11.88	7.6	20.58	20.58
Debt over Equity	1.52	1.8	3.94	9.82	8.34	13.02	12.24	6.2	7.31	13.4	13.4
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-434%	100%	100%	100%	100%	90%	100%	-434%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (20.58)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (13.4)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-434%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-1%	11%	4%	6%	0%	14%	8%	7%	3%	8%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-222%	-52%	-299%	-187%	-45%	558%	62%	-49%	86%	57%
Equity YoY growth	-	7%	-5%	-51%	25%	-2%	25%	126%	-9%	-40%	32%
FCF YoY growth	-	-49%	40%	169%	-2%	-2%	56%	-4%	68%	-59%	14%