Best Buy Co Inc

BBY

Retail-Radio, Tv & Consumer Electronics Stores

Mkt Cap

$15.8B

PE

12.73

Debt

$1.178B

Cash

$1.793B

EV

$15.18B

FCF

$675M

Market Cap

$15.8B

P/E Ratio

12.73

Debt

$1.178B

Cash

$1.793B

EV

$15.18B

FCF

$675M

Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":1233000000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":897000000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":1228000000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":1000000000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":1464000000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":1541000000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":1798000000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":2454000000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":1419000000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":1241000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":40339000000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":39528000000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":39403000000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":42151000000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":42879000000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":43638000000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":47262000000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":51761000000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":46298000000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":43452000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.030565953543717},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.02269277474195507},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.03116513971017435},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.023724229555645182},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.03414258728048695},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.035313259086117606},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.03804324827557023},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.04741021232201851},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.03064927210678647},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.028560250391236306}],"Assets":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":15256000000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":13519000000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":13856000000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":13049000000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":12901000000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":15591000000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":19067000000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":17504000000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":15803000000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":14967000000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":5000000000},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":4378000000},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":4709000000},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":3612000000},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":3306000000},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":3479000000},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":4587000000},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":3020000000},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":2795000000},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":3053000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.2466},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.20488807674737322},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.2607772350817583},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.2768549280177187},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.44283121597096187},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.44294337453291177},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.3919773272291258},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.8125827814569536},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.5076923076923077},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.40648542417294464}],"ROA":[{"time":"2015-01-30","value":0.09681436811746198},{"time":"2016-01-29","value":0.10281825578815001},{"time":"2017-01-27","value":0.13625866050808313},{"time":"2018-02-02","value":0.1449919534063913},{"time":"2019-02-01","value":0.15200372064181072},{"time":"2020-01-31","value":0.1319350907574883},{"time":"2021-01-29","value":0.12739287774689254},{"time":"2022-01-28","value":0.17418875685557586},{"time":"2023-01-27","value":0.11535784344744669},{"time":"2024-02-02","value":0.11177924767822543}]}

Best Buy Co., Inc. engages in the retail of technology products in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Domestic and International. Its stores provide computing and mobile phone products, such as desktops, notebooks, and peripherals; mobile phones comprising related mobile network carrier commissions; networking products; tablets covering e-readers; smartwatches; and consumer electronics consisting of digital imaging, health and fitness products, home theater, portable audio comprising headphones and portable speakers, and smart home products. The company's stores also offer appliances, such as dishwashers, laundry, ovens, refrigerators, blenders, coffee makers, and vacuums; entertainment products consisting of drones, peripherals, movies, music, and toys, as well as gaming hardware and software, and virtual reality and other software products; and other products, such as baby, food and beverage, luggage, outdoor living, and sporting goods. In addition, it provides consultation, delivery, design, installation, memberships, repair, set-up, technical support, health-related, and warranty-related services. The company offers its products through stores and websites under the Best Buy, Best Buy Ads, Best Buy Business, Best Buy Health, Buy Mobile, CST, Current Health, Geek Squad, Lively, Magnolia, Pacific Kitchen, Home, TechLiquidators, and Yardbird brands, as well as domain names comprising bestbuy.com, currenthealth.com, lively.com, techliquidators.com, yardbird.com, and bestbuy.ca. The company was formerly known as Sound of Music, Inc. Best Buy Co., Inc. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Richfield, Minnesota.

Sector

10-Q
10/28/23
10-Q
7/29/23
10-Q
4/29/23
10-K
1/28/23
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10/29/22
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4/30/22
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10/30/21
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11/2/19
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8/3/19
10-Q
5/4/19
10-K
2/2/19
10-Q
11/3/18
10-Q
8/4/18
10-Q
5/5/18
10-K
2/3/18

DCF

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Best Buy Co Inc

Calculate

Growth Years

Growth

Start

End

Discount

Start

End

Multiple

g\r	+10%	+11%	+12%	+13%	+14%
0%	10	9	8	8	7
+1%	11	10	9	8	8
+2%	13	11	10	9	8
+3%	14	13	11	10	9
+4%	17	14	12	11	10

Years	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
FCF	$675M	$686.3M	$697.8M	$709.4M	$721.3M	$733.3M	$745.6M	$758M	$770.7M	$783.6M	$796.7M	$7.967B
DCF		$596.8M	$527.6M	$466.5M	$412.4M	$364.6M	$322.3M	$285M	$251.9M	$222.7M	$196.9M	$1.969B
Value	$5.616B

Chart P/E ratio

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 7.7%

Earnings Stability 41%

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

The Net Margin is too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Over time the ROA has been decreasing indicating a lower marginal ROA with respect to the calculated one, this could impede growth.

Years	01-2016	01-2017	02-2018	02-2019	01-2020	01-2021	01-2022	01-2023	02-2024	TTM
Net Margin	2.3%	3.1%	2.4%	3.4%	3.5%	3.8%	4.7%	3.1%	2.9%	2.9%
ROA	10%	14%	14%	15%	13%	13%	17%	12%	11%	11%
ROE	20%	26%	28%	44%	44%	39%	81%	51%	41%	41%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.57%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.09%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +13.54%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.58%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +50.08%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +1.24%.

Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Under the assumption that FCF does not diminish and debt does not increase, the current years to repay the debt are acceptable.

The Graham’s stability indicate a relevant drawdown, consider checking when it has occured and why.

Years	01-2016	01-2017	02-2018	02-2019	01-2020	01-2021	01-2022	01-2023	02-2024	TTM
Debt FCF	3.16	0.72	1.31	0.91	0.71	0.33	0.49	1.33	1.75	1.75
Debt Equity	0.49	0.30	0.53	0.44	0.37	0.30	0.41	0.43	0.39	0.39
MIN
Graham Stability	-	-	89%	100%	100%	100%	100%	73%	66%	66%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.75.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.18.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.66.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Earnings growth has not been increasing in the past years.

Years	01-2017	02-2019	01-2021	01-2023	Trend
Revenue	1.4%	0.27%	-2.8%	-6.1%	-0.59%
Net Income	0.15%	-3.3%	-12%	-13%	-1.6%
Stockholders Equity	-6%	-1.6%	-13%	9.2%	1%
FCF	-14%	-16%	-46%	-24%	-9.5%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +0.27%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.59%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -3.25%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.63%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -1.58%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -15.74%.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -9.48%.