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Aerovironment Inc

AVAV

Aircraft

Mkt Cap

$3.316B

PE

-27.31

Debt

$85M

Cash

$100.9M

EV

$3.3B

FCF

-$63.51M

Market Cap

$3.316B

P/E Ratio

-27.31

Debt

$85M

Cash

$100.9M

EV

$3.3B

FCF

-$63.51M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":13718000},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":2895000},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":8966000},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":12457000},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":19852000},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":47419000},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":41070000},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":23331000},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":-4188000},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":-176212000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":251703000},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":259398000},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":264098000},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":264873000},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":271052000},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":314274000},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":367296000},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":394912000},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":445732000},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":540536000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":0.05450074095263068},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":0.011160456133046516},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":0.033949518739255884},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":0.04703008611674274},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":0.07324055900712778},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":0.15088426023151771},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":0.11181717198118139},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":0.059078984685195686},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":-0.00939578042411135},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":-0.3259949383574822}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":384954000},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":397467000},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":410393000},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":432500000},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":472911000},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":508844000},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":584954000},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":928566000},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":914200000},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":824577000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":342467000},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":348912000},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":361525000},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":382193000},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":410140000},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":462575000},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":509901000},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":612107000},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":608210000},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":550970000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":0.040056414194652334},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":0.008297221075801348},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":0.024800497890878917},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":0.03259348025735689},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":0.048402984346808405},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":0.10251094417121548},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":0.08054504697970782},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":0.038115884967824254},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":-0.006885779582709919},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":-0.3198214058841679}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-04-29","value":0.038695532453228175},{"time":"2015-04-29","value":0.005067087330520521},{"time":"2016-04-29","value":0.023721164834682854},{"time":"2017-04-29","value":0.032853179190751446},{"time":"2018-04-29","value":0.06880152925180424},{"time":"2019-04-29","value":0.10838292286044446},{"time":"2020-04-29","value":0.09829490865948434},{"time":"2021-04-29","value":0.046645041924860485},{"time":"2022-04-29","value":-0.010814920148763946},{"time":"2023-04-29","value":-0.2166723059217029}]}

AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments. It also designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support, as well as multiple aircraft, hand-held ground control system, and spare parts and accessories. Further, it develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

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In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 12%
Earnings Stability -54%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years04-201504-201604-201704-201804-201904-202004-202104-202204-2023TTM
Net Margin1.1%3.4%4.7%7.3%15%11%5.9%-0.94%-33%-19%
ROA0.51%2.4%3.3%6.9%11%9.8%4.7%-1.1%-22%-11%
ROE0.83%2.5%3.3%4.8%10%8.1%3.8%-0.69%-32%-15%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.99%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -7.23%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +1.58%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -5.25%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is -0.95%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -6.32%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years04-201504-201604-201704-201804-201904-202004-202104-202204-2023TTM
Debt FCF------2.79-6.27-41.09-1.34
Debt Equity------0.340.330.260.11
MIN
Graham Stability--100%100%100%100%65%-11%-880%-880%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -1.34.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -21.94.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -8.78.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years04-201604-201804-202004-2022Trend
Revenue11%15%14%21%2.3%
Net Income-----8.5%
Stockholders Equity6.2%6.1%2.6%-9.4%-0.44%
FCF----35%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +14.8%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.25%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -8.54%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.08%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.44%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +35.4%.