Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Atkore Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of electrical, safety, and infrastructure products in the United States and internationally. The company offers conduits, cables, and installation accessories. It also designs and manufactures safety and infrastructure solutions, such as metal framing, mechanical pipe, perimeter security, and cable management. The company offers its products under the Allied Tube & Conduit, AFC Cable Systems, Kaf-Tech, Heritage Plastics, Unistrut, Power-Strut, Cope, US Tray, FRE Composites, United Poly Systems, Calbond, and Calpipe. It serves various end markets, including new construction; maintenance, repair, and remodel, as well as infrastructure; diversified industrials; alternative power generation; healthcare; data centers; and government through electrical, industrial, and mechanical contractors, as well as original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Atkore International Group Inc. and changed its name to Atkore Inc. in February 2021. Atkore Inc. was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Harvey, Illinois.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Atkore Inc.
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $429.8M | $558.8M | $710.9M | $884.6M | $1.076B | $1.28B | $1.486B | $1.684B | $1.862B | $2.006B | $2.107B | $21.07B |
DCF | $485.9M | $537.5M | $581.7M | $615.4M | $636.2M | $642.3M | $633M | $608.6M | $570.3M | $520.8M | $5.208B | |
Value | $11.04B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 09-2015 | 09-2016 | 09-2017 | 09-2018 | 09-2019 | 09-2020 | 09-2021 | 09-2022 | 09-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | -0.29% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 18% |
ROA | 3.3% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 36% | 47% | 30% | 26% |
ROE | -3.2% | 23% | 23% | 110% | 58% | 39% | 67% | 72% | 46% | 39% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +14.13%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +3.4%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +26.43%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +5.74%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +65.38%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -7.13%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 09-2015 | 09-2016 | 09-2017 | 09-2018 | 09-2019 | 09-2020 | 09-2021 | 09-2022 | 09-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 5.71 | 4.51 | 5.97 | 8.43 | 4.83 | 3.74 | 1.49 | 1.17 | 1.31 | 1.78 |
Debt Equity | 4.17 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 7.41 | 3.63 | 2.12 | 0.88 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.49 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 1.78.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -1.40.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 09-2016 | 09-2018 | 09-2020 | 09-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 13% | 14% | 26% | -10% | 3.2% |
Net Income | 42% | 38% | 66% | -24% | 2.7% |
Stockholders Equity | 28% | 64% | 57% | 17% | 6% |
FCF | 23% | 41% | 40% | -9.6% | 0.16% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +13.91%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +3.24%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +38.31%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +2.72%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +64.45%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +6.01%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +40.59%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.16%.