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ASGN Incorporated provides information technology services and professional solutions in the technology, digital, and creative fields for commercial and government sectors in the United States, Canada, and Europe. It operates through two segments, Commercial and Federal Government. The Commercial Segment provides consulting, creative digital marketing, and permanent placement services primarily to enterprise clients. This segment also offers workforce mobilization, modern enterprise, and digital innovation IT consulting services; and cloud, data and analytics, and digital transformation solutions. The Federal Government Segment provides mission-critical solutions to the department of defense, intelligence agencies, and civilian agencies. This segment offers cloud, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, machine learning, application and IT modernization, and science and engineering solutions. The company was formerly known as On Assignment, Inc. and changed its name to ASGN Incorporated in April 2018. ASGN Incorporated was founded in 1985 and is based in Glen Allen, Virginia.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Asgn Inc
Growth
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Discount
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Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $410.7M | $458.2M | $507.9M | $559.2M | $611.7M | $664.6M | $717.2M | $768.8M | $818.5M | $865.4M | $908.6M | $9.086B |
DCF | $398.4M | $384M | $367.7M | $349.7M | $330.4M | $310.1M | $289M | $267.6M | $246M | $224.6M | $2.246B | |
Value | $5.414B |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 4.7% | 4% | 6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
ROA | 8.6% | 11% | 12% | 9.7% | 10% | 9.5% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
ROE | 12% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 11% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +5.86%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.31%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +10.22%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.18%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +14.39%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.14%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | 8.14 | 3.79 | 3.34 | 4.34 | 3.71 | 2.65 | 6.55 | 3.97 | 2.52 | 2.55 |
Debt Equity | 0.96 | 0.74 | 0.58 | 0.95 | 0.76 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.56 |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 2.55.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.13.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.75.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | -2.8% | -1.8% |
Net Income | 12% | 6.8% | 3.1% | -18% | -3% |
Stockholders Equity | 12% | 9.9% | 6% | -0.48% | -2% |
FCF | 14% | 10% | 2.1% | 54% | -0.65% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +5.53%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.8%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +6.82%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.03%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +9.87%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -2%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.01%.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.65%.