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Smith A O Corp

AOS

Household Appliances

Mkt Cap

$12.18B

PE

21.10

Debt

$119.7M

Cash

$251.6M

EV

$12.05B

FCF

$573.1M

Market Cap

$12.18B

P/E Ratio

21.10

Debt

$119.7M

Cash

$251.6M

EV

$12.05B

FCF

$573.1M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":207800000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":282900000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":326500000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":296500000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":444200000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":370000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":344900000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":487100000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":235700000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":556600000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2356000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2536500000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2685900000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2996700000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3187900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2992700000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2895300000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3538900000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3753900000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3852800000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.08820033955857386},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.11153163808397398},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.12156074314010201},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.09894216972002536},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.13933937701935442},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.12363417649614061},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.11912409767554312},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.13764164005764504},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.062788033778204},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.14446636212624583}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2515300000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2646500000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2891000000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":3197300000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":3071500000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3058000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3160700000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3474400000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":3332300000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":3213900000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":1381300000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1442300000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":1515300000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":1648800000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1717000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":1666800000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":1848300000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":1832200000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1747700000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1844400000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.1504379931948165},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.19614504610691258},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.21546888404936315},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.17982775351770985},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.2587070471753058},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.22198224142068634},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.18660390629226858},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.2658552559764218},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.13486296275104423},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.3017783561049664}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.137279847334314},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.171131683355375},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.1781390522310619},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.18074625465236294},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.1997069835585219},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.17302158273381296},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.15920523934571457},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.19629288510246373},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.1086336764396963},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.25190578424966553}]}

A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas, heat pump and electric water heaters, boilers, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. It operates through two segments, North America and Rest of World. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; commercial boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, and other large commercial buildings, as well as residential boilers for homes, apartments, and condominiums; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, on-the-go filtration bottles, point-of-use carbon, and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration product; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products primarily under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, and water softener brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as through retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms; and offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Sector

    Growth

    %

    %

    Discount

    %

    %

    Multiple

    g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
    0%109887
    +1%1110988
    +2%13111098
    +3%141311109
    +4%1714121110
    Years012345678910TV
    FCF$573.1M$628.5M$685.9M$745M$805.4M$866.6M$927.8M$988.6M$1.048B$1.106B$1.161B$11.61B
    DCF$546.5M$518.6M$489.9M$460.5M$430.8M$401.1M$371.7M$342.7M$314.4M$287.1M$2.871B
    Value$7.034B

    In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

    Earnings Growth 4.3%
    Earnings Stability 20%


    Competitiveness and MOAT

    High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

    Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
    Net Margin11%12%9.9%14%12%12%14%6.3%14%15%
    ROA17%18%18%20%17%16%20%11%25%26%
    ROE20%22%18%26%22%19%27%13%30%31%

    What is the average Net Margin?

    The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +12.12%.

    What is the trend of Net Margin?

    The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is -0.4%.

    What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

    The average ROA over the past 5 years is +18.15%.

    What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

    The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.3%.

    What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

    The average ROE over the past 5 years is +22.83%.

    What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

    The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +0.1%.


    Safety & Stabiliy

    Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

    Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
    Debt FCF0.960.901.800.610.740.240.361.100.230.21
    Debt Equity0.180.220.250.130.170.060.110.200.070.06
    MIN
    Graham Stability--100%100%100%93%100%59%100%59%

    What is the Debt/FCF?

    The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 0.21.

    What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

    The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.02.

    What is the Graham’s Stability?

    Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.59.


    Growth

    Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

    Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
    Revenue5.3%3.9%10%2.6%-0.13%
    Net Income7.9%4.6%17%140%4.1%
    Stockholders Equity2.8%1.4%-0.07%5.5%-0.62%
    FCF7.2%10%5.8%86%-0.45%

    What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

    The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +3.86%.

    What is the trend of Revenue growth?

    The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.13%.

    What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

    The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.61%.

    What is the trend of Earnings growth?

    The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +4.05%.

    What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

    The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.44%.

    What is the trend of Equity growth?

    The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.62%.

    What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

    The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is +10.45%.

    What is the trend of FCF growth?

    The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.45%.