Services-Prepackaged Software
American Software, Inc. develops, markets, and supports a range of computer business application software products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Supply Chain Management (SCM), Information Technology Consulting (IT Consulting), and Other segments. The SCM segment leverages a single platform spanning eight supply chain process areas including product, demand, inventory, network optimization supply, deploy aligned with integrated business planning and supply chain data management. The IT Consulting segment offers IT staffing and consulting services firm. Other segment provides purchasing and materials management, client order processing, financial, e-commerce, and traditional manufacturing software and services. In addition, it offers ongoing support and maintenance services; cloud hosting and managed services; and implementation and training services. The company markets its products through direct and indirect sales channels to the apparel and other soft goods, food and beverage, consumer packaged goods, consumer durable goods, wholesale distribution, specialty chemicals, and other process manufacturing industries. American Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of American Software Inc
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
+1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
+2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
+3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
+4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCF | $18.75M | $18.15M | $17.58M | $17.02M | $16.48M | $15.95M | $15.45M | $14.95M | $14.48M | $14.02M | $13.57M | $135.7M |
DCF | $15.79M | $13.29M | $11.19M | $9.42M | $7.931M | $6.677M | $5.622M | $4.733M | $3.985M | $3.355M | $33.55M | |
Value | $115.5M |
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
Years | 04-2015 | 04-2016 | 04-2017 | 04-2018 | 04-2019 | 04-2020 | 04-2021 | 04-2022 | 04-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Margin | 7.9% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10% | 8.4% | 11% |
ROA | 7.7% | 11% | 15% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 4% | 5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7% |
ROE | 8.7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% |
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +8.08%.
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.04%.
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +6.18%.
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.2%.
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +7.66%.
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.12%.
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
Years | 04-2015 | 04-2016 | 04-2017 | 04-2018 | 04-2019 | 04-2020 | 04-2021 | 04-2022 | 04-2023 | TTM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debt FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Debt Equity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
MIN | ||||||||||
Graham Stability | - | - | - | 100% | 55% | 60% | 95% | 100% | 100% | 55% |
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.55.
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
Years | 04-2016 | 04-2018 | 04-2020 | 04-2022 | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | -3.1% | -0.11% |
Net Income | 0.25% | -2.9% | 16% | -18% | -0.95% |
Stockholders Equity | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | -0.0054% |
FCF | - | - | - | - | -3.3% |
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.87%.
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.11%.
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -2.87%.
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.95%.
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +4.36%.
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.01%.
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -3.32%.