Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

Energy
Coal Mining
www.alphametresources.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $3.03B
PE 8
Debt $9.78M
Cash $605.64M
EV $2.44B
FCF $505.31M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$365.72M
EBIT	$431.19M
ROE	22%
ROA	17%
FCF	$505.31M
Equity	$1.65B
Growth Stability	-976%
PE	8.29
PEG	-0.78
PB	1.84
P/FCF	6
P/S	0.92
Price/Cash	0.2
Debt/Equity	0.01
Debt/FCF	0.02
Net Margins	8%
Gross Margins	22%
Op. Margins	13%
Earnings CAGR	13%
Sales Growth YoY	-9%
Sales Growth QoQ	-16%
Sales CAGR	13%
FCF CAGR	28%
Equity CAGR	47%
Earnings Stability	-0
Earnings Growth YoY	-96%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-94%
Earnings CAGR 5Y	-11%

Sales CAGR 5Y	21%
FCF CAGR 5Y	146%
Equity CAGR 5Y	53%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	4%
Sales CAGR 3Y	4%
FCF CAGR 3Y	16%
Equity CAGR 3Y	31%
Market Cap	$3.03B
Revenue	$3.30B
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	4%
Assets	$2.48B
Total Debt	$9.78M
Cash	$605.64M
Shares Outstanding	13.01M
EV	2.44B
Earnings Score	6%
Moat Score	93%
Safety Score	67%
Final Score	55%
Working Capital	788.33M
Current Ratio	3.59
Gross Profit	$720.20M
Shares Growth 3y	-14%
Equity Growth QoQ	0%
Equity Growth YoY	6%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is a Tennessee-based coal mining company with operations across Virginia and West Virginia. The company's portfolio of mining operations consists of underground mines, surface mines and coal preparation plants. It produces low-ash metallurgical coal, including High-Vol. A, Mid-Vol., High-Vol. B, and Low-Vol. coal, which is shipped to domestic and international coke and steel producers. The reportable segments of the company are Met and CAPP - Thermal, of which key revenue is derived from the Met segment. It extracts, processes and markets met and thermal coal from deep and surface mines for sale to steel and coke producers, industrial customers, and electric utilities.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 13%

Stability -0%

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Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= $36B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$505M	$647M	$828M	$1.1B	$1.4B	$1.7B	$2.2B	$2.8B	$3.6B	$4.7B	$6B	$60B
DCF		$588M	$684M	$796M	$927M	$1.1B	$1.3B	$1.5B	$1.7B	$2B	$2.3B	$23B
Value	$36B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	9%	15%	-14%	-32%	13%	35%	21%	8%
ROA	22%	7%	-7%	-10%	19%	68%	36%	17%
ROE	167%	28%	-45%	-223%	53%	101%	46%	22%

Net Margins (8.11%)

Net Margins are at a level that is not too high nor too low. They are not a competitive advantage but they are not a competitive disadvantage either.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	1.54	8.83	-10.76	65.07	4.99	0.01	0.02	0.02
Debt over Equity	4.02	0.63	0.94	3.14	0.84	0.01	0.01	0.01
Growth Stability	-	-	-	-976%	-	-	100%	-976%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (0.02)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.01)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-976%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	23%	13%	-38%	59%	82%	-15%	21%
Earnings YoY growth	-	94%	-206%	41%	-165%	402%	-50%	-11%
Equity YoY growth	-	1K%	-35%	-71%	173%	161%	10%	53%
FCF YoY growth	-	-68%	-179%	-116%	849%	1K%	-54%	146%