Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
AMG
Investment Advice
Mkt Cap
$5.254BPE
7.63Debt
$2.525BCash
$793.4MEV
$6.986BFCF
$837.2MP/E Ratio
7.63Debt
$2.525BCash
$793.4MEV
$6.986BFCF
$837.2MCharts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":452100000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":516000000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":472800000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":689500000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":243600000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":15700000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":202200000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":565700000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1145900000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":672900000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2194600000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2305000000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2378400000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2239600000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2027500000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2412400000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2329600000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":2057800000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.21543789301011573},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.29913232104121473},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.10242179616548941},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.007010180389355242},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.09972872996300863},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.23449676670535566},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.4918870192307692},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.32699970842647486}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":7698100000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":7784800000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":8749100000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":8702100000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":8219100000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":7653500000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":7888900000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":8876400000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":8881000000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":9059600000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3643200000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":3769100000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":4426500000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":4578500000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":4134900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3499100000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":3317300000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":3710600000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":4175600000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":4570100000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.12409420289855072},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.13690270886949138},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.10681125042358522},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.1505951730916239},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.05891315388522093},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.004486868051784745},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.06095318481897929},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.15245512855063872},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.2744276271673532},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.14723966652808473}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.14161936062145206},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.15151320522042955},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.12161250871518213},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.1324278047827536},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.09662858463822073},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.05019925524269942},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.07613228713762375},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.1410932359965752},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.20952595428442744},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.13413395734911035}]}
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc., through its affiliates, operates as an investment management company providing investment management services to mutual funds, institutional clients,retails and high net worth individuals in the United States. It provides advisory or sub-advisory services to mutual funds. These funds are distributed to retail, high net worth and institutional clients directly and through intermediaries, including independent investment advisors, retirement plan sponsors, broker-dealers, major fund marketplaces, and bank trust departments. The company also offers investment products in various investment styles in the institutional distribution channel, including small, small/mid, mid, and large capitalization value and growth equity, and emerging markets. In addition, it offers quantitative, alternative, and fixed income products, and manages assets for foundations and endowments, defined benefit, and defined contribution plans for corporations and municipalities. Affiliated Managers Group provides investment management or customized investment counseling and fiduciary services. Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. was formed in 1993 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida with additional offices in Prides Crossing, Massachusetts; Stamford, Connecticut; London, United Kingdom; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; Sydney, Australia; Hong Kong; Tokyo, Japan, Zurich, Switzerland and Delaware.
Sector
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DCF
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation of Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
Value
Growth
%
%
Discount
%
%
Multiple
| g\r | +10% | +11% | +12% | +13% | +14% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| +1% | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| +2% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| +3% | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| +4% | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Years | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | $837.2M | $822.9M | $808.9M | $795.1M | $781.5M | $768.2M | $755.1M | $742.2M | $729.6M | $717.1M | $704.9M | $7.049B |
| DCF | $715.6M | $611.6M | $522.8M | $446.8M | $381.9M | $326.5M | $279M | $238.5M | $203.9M | $174.2M | $1.742B | |
| Value | $5.643B | |||||||||||
In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.
Earnings Growth 4%
Earnings Stability -2.3%
Competitiveness and MOAT
High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | - | 22% | 30% | 10% | 0.7% | 10% | 23% | 49% | 33% | 34% |
| ROA | 15% | 12% | 13% | 9.7% | 5% | 7.6% | 14% | 21% | 13% | 14% |
| ROE | 14% | 11% | 15% | 5.9% | 0.45% | 6.1% | 15% | 27% | 15% | 15% |
What is the average Net Margin?
The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +21.04%.
What is the trend of Net Margin?
The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +7.75%.
What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?
The average ROA over the past 5 years is +11.8%.
What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?
The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +2.09%.
What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?
The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.64%.
What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?
The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +3.84%.
Safety & Stabiliy
Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.
| Years | 12-2015 | 12-2016 | 12-2017 | 12-2018 | 12-2019 | 12-2020 | 12-2021 | 12-2022 | 12-2023 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt FCF | 0.55 | 0.86 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 1.95 | 2.31 | 1.99 | 2.43 | 2.94 | 3.02 |
| Debt Equity | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.51 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| MIN | ||||||||||
| Graham Stability | - | - | 100% | 44% | 3.4% | 64% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 3.4% |
What is the Debt/FCF?
The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.02.
What is the trend of Debt/FCF?
The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is 0.35.
What is the Graham’s Stability?
Graham’s Stability measure stands at 0.03.
Growth
Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.
| Years | 12-2016 | 12-2018 | 12-2020 | 12-2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -0.92% | -2.9% | 0.5% | -12% | -1.4% |
| Net Income | 5.2% | 23% | 49% | -41% | 27% |
| Stockholders Equity | 0.46% | 2% | 11% | 9.4% | 0.51% |
| FCF | -2.2% | -5.1% | -4.9% | -17% | 0.42% |
What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?
The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is -2.85%.
What is the trend of Revenue growth?
The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -1.38%.
What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?
The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +22.53%.
What is the trend of Earnings growth?
The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +27.19%.
What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?
The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +2.02%.
What is the trend of Equity growth?
The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.51%.
What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?
The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -5.14%.
What is the trend of FCF growth?
The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.42%.