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Antero Midstream Corp

AM

Natural Gas Transmission

Mkt Cap

$6.944B

PE

17.87

Debt

$3.198B

Cash

$26.09M

EV

$10.12B

FCF

$804.9M

Market Cap

$6.944B

P/E Ratio

17.87

Debt

$3.198B

Cash

$26.09M

EV

$10.12B

FCF

$804.9M
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2015-12-30","value":781000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":9711000},{"time":"2017-05-02","value":-3261000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":61372000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-355556000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-123077000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":331067000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":325692000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":371236000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1264000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":16944000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":142906000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":792588000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":900719000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":898202000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":919985000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":1041771000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.617879746835443},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.5731232294617564},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.42945712566302324},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.44860129096075135},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.13664305960016387},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.3685885802970824},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.35401881552416614},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.35635086789707143}],"Assets":[{"time":"2016-12-30","value":17369000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":47705000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":6282878000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":5610912000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":5544001000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":5791320000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":5737618000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2015-12-30","value":558000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":10269000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":30861000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":3143414000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2418286000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2286698000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2192318000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":2151731000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2015-12-30","value":1.3996415770609318},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.9456617002629273},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":1.9886588250542756},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.11311141325959609},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.050894311094717495},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.14477950302138717},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.14856056466260825},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.17252900106937158}],"ROA":[{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.9286660141631643},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2.0764070852111938},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.06342523283119615},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.020965932098026132},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.10016718972453288},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.09315078427715962},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.1066404211643229}]}

Antero Midstream Corporation owns, operates, and develops midstream energy infrastructure in the Appalachian Basin. It operates through Gathering and Processing, and Water Handling segments. The Gathering and Processing segment includes a network of gathering pipelines and compressor stations that collects and processes production from Antero Resources' wells in West Virginia and Ohio. The Water Handling segment delivers fresh water from sources, including the Ohio River, local reservoirs, and various regional waterways; uses water handling systems to transport flowback and produced water; and offers pumping stations, water storage, and blending facilities. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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Growth

%

%

Discount

%

%

Multiple

g\r+10%+11%+12%+13%+14%
0%109887
+1%1110988
+2%13111098
+3%141311109
+4%1714121110
Years012345678910TV
FCF$804.9M$934.4M$1.073B$1.22B$1.371B$1.524B$1.675B$1.821B$1.957B$2.079B$2.183B$21.83B
DCF$812.5M$811.6M$801.9M$783.8M$757.6M$724.3M$684.6M$639.7M$591M$539.6M$5.396B
Value$12.54B

In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 76%
Earnings Stability 33%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201605-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin62%57%-43%-45%-14%37%35%36%37%
ROA-93%-210%-6.3%-2.1%10%9.3%11%11%
ROE140%95%-200%-11%-5.1%14%15%17%18%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +15.39%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +7.28%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +38.2%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -26.45%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +38.18%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -23.14%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201605-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF-----5.23--4.153.97
Debt Equity----920.101.291.381.541.501.49
MIN
Graham Stability---100%-1.6K%---100%-1.6K%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is 3.97.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -0.36.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -15.73.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue80%49%5%13%-180%
Net Income68%43%-14%-170%
Stockholders Equity110%130%-3.8%-1.9%-620%
FCF--9.4%61%-2.1%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +48.78%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is -183.56%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +43.33%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -171.63%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +133.71%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -617.24%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -2.15%.