Allegiant Travel Co

Consumer Discretionary
Air Freight/Delivery Services
www.allegiant.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $1.46B
PE -56
Debt $2.61B
Cash $290.89M
EV $3.78B
FCF -$134.57M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	-$25.96M
EBIT	$34.62M
ROE	-2%
ROA	1%
FCF	-$134.57M
Equity	$1.30B
Growth Stability	-94%
PE	-56.24
PEG	7.29
PB	1.12
P/FCF	-10.85
P/S	0.59
Price/Cash	0.2
Debt/Equity	2.01
Debt/FCF	-19.39
Net Margins	-1%
Op. Margins	1%
Earnings CAGR	-7%
Sales Growth YoY	-1%
Sales Growth QoQ	-16%
Sales CAGR	7%
FCF CAGR	-1%
Equity CAGR	18%
Earnings Stability	0.12
Earnings Growth YoY	47%
Earnings Growth QoQ	-369%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-8%
Sales CAGR 5Y	19%
FCF CAGR 5Y	1%
Equity CAGR 5Y	15%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	13%
Sales CAGR 3Y	13%
Equity CAGR 3Y	4%
Market Cap	$1.46B
Revenue	$2.50B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	-127%
Assets	$4.79B
Total Debt	$2.61B
Cash	$290.89M
Shares Outstanding	17.4M
EV	3.78B
Earnings Score	5%
Moat Score	17%
Safety Score	33%
Final Score	18%
Working Capital	-303.94M
Current Ratio	0.75
Shares Growth 3y	-0%
Equity Growth QoQ	-2%
Equity Growth YoY	-3%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Allegiant Travel Co provides travel services in the United States. It sells air transportation on a stand-alone basis or bundled with air-related and third-party services and products. Customers may also purchase fixed-fee flying arrangements to receive charter service on a year-round and ad hoc basis. Additionally, customers may purchase hotel rooms, ground transportation, and other attractions (for example, entertainment show tickets) to accommodate a trip. The company's operating segment includes Airline, Sunseeker Resort, and other non-airline. Customers purchase travel tickets at airport ticket counters, online, or through its telephone reservation center.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Allegiant Travel Co (ALGT) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Allegiant Travel Co compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Allegiant Travel Co compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR -7%

Stability 12%

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Allegiant Travel Co Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Allegiant Travel Co.

Years

Calculation mode

= -$1.2B

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$135M	-$133M	-$131M	-$129M	-$127M	-$126M	-$124M	-$122M	-$120M	-$119M	-$117M	-$1.2B
DCF		-$121M	-$108M	-$97M	-$87M	-$78M	-$70M	-$63M	-$56M	-$50M	-$45M	-$452M
Value	-$1.2B

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Net Margins	8%	17%	16%	13%	10%	13%	-19%	9%	0%	5%	-1%
ROA	-	27%	22%	10%	10%	12%	-9%	7%	2%	5%	1%
ROE	-	63%	46%	36%	23%	26%	-26%	12%	0%	9%	-2%

Bad Net Margins (-1.27%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	6.35	6.08	-7.78	87.25	-19.57	-25.45	10.54	-4.88	-5.79	-19.39
Debt over Equity	2.2	2.04	1.89	2.52	2.06	1.81	2.68	1.53	1.84	2.03	2.01
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	76%	100%	-94%	100%	4%	-	-94%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-19.39)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (2.01)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-94%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2014	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	11%	8%	10%	11%	10%	-46%	73%	35%	9%	19%
Earnings YoY growth	-	155%	-0%	-11%	-17%	43%	-179%	-182%	-98%	5K%	-8%
Equity YoY growth	-	19%	35%	16%	26%	28%	-21%	75%	-0%	9%	15%
FCF YoY growth	-	-1K%	31%	-221%	-109%	-599%	-10%	-341%	-359%	1%	1%