Allegiant Travel Co

Consumer Discretionary
Air Freight/Delivery Services
www.allegiant.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $893.10M
PE -4
Debt $2.52B
Cash $302.32M
EV $3.11B
FCF $38.30M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	-$240.24M
EBIT	-$239.98M
ROE	-22%
ROA	-5%
FCF	$38.30M
Equity	$1.09B
Growth Stability	-265%
PE	-3.72
PEG	1.67
PB	0.82
P/FCF	23.32
P/S	0.36
Price/Cash	0.34
Debt/Equity	2.31
Debt/FCF	65.83
Net Margins	-10%
Op. Margins	-10%
Earnings CAGR	-6%
Sales Growth YoY	3%
Sales Growth QoQ	12%
Sales CAGR	8%
FCF CAGR	-2%
Equity CAGR	17%
Earnings Stability	0.09
Earnings Growth YoY	11K%
Earnings Growth QoQ	488%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-2%
Sales CAGR 5Y	21%
FCF CAGR 5Y	-0%
Equity CAGR 5Y	14%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	9%
Sales CAGR 3Y	9%
Equity CAGR 3Y	1%
Market Cap	$893.10M
Revenue	$2.51B
Dividend Yield	2%
Payout Ratio	-9%
Assets	$4.43B
Total Debt	$2.52B
Cash	$302.32M
Shares Outstanding	17.81M
EV	3.11B
Earnings Score	5%
Moat Score	6%
Safety Score	34%
Final Score	15%
Working Capital	-285.8M
Current Ratio	0.78
Shares Growth 3y	-1%
Equity Growth QoQ	-16%
Equity Growth YoY	-18%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Allegiant Travel Co provides travel services in the United States. It sells air transportation on a stand-alone basis or bundled with air-related and third-party services and products. Customers may also purchase fixed-fee flying arrangements to receive charter service on a year-round and ad hoc basis. Additionally, customers may purchase hotel rooms, ground transportation, and other attractions (for example, entertainment show tickets) to accommodate a trip. The company's operating segment includes Airline, Sunseeker Resort, and other non-airline. Customers purchase travel tickets at airport ticket counters, online, or through its telephone reservation center.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Allegiant Travel Co (ALGT) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-K Dec 31
- 10-Q Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Allegiant Travel Co compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Allegiant Travel Co compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR -6%

Stability 9%

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Allegiant Travel Co Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Allegiant Travel Co.

Years

Calculation mode

= $341M

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	$38M	$38M	$37M	$36M	$36M	$35M	$34M	$34M	$33M	$33M	$32M	$321M
DCF		$34M	$31M	$27M	$24M	$22M	$19M	$17M	$16M	$14M	$12M	$124M
Value	$341M

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Net Margins	17%	16%	13%	10%	13%	-19%	9%	0%	5%	-10%	-10%
ROA	-	22%	10%	10%	12%	-9%	7%	2%	5%	-5%	-5%
ROE	-	46%	36%	23%	26%	-26%	12%	0%	9%	-22%	-22%

Bad Net Margins (-9.56%)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	6.08	-7.78	87.25	-19.57	-25.45	10.54	-4.88	-5.79	65.83	65.83
Debt over Equity	2.04	1.89	2.52	2.06	1.81	2.68	1.53	1.84	2.03	2.31	2.31
Growth Stability	-	-	-	76%	100%	-94%	100%	4%	-	-265%	-265%

Bad Debt/FCF ratio (65.83)

Net Margins are too low to guarantee profitability in case of higher costs or higher interest rates. Furthermore lower margins cause higher earnings’ volatility.

Bad Debt/Equity ratio (2.31)

The company is overleveraged and has a bad balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (-265%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	12/2015	12/2016	12/2017	12/2018	12/2019	12/2020	12/2021	12/2022	12/2023	12/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	8%	10%	11%	10%	-46%	73%	35%	9%	0%	21%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-0%	-11%	-17%	43%	-179%	-182%	-98%	5K%	-304%	-2%
Equity YoY growth	-	35%	16%	26%	28%	-21%	75%	-0%	9%	-18%	14%
FCF YoY growth	-	31%	-221%	-109%	-599%	-10%	-341%	-359%	1%	-108%	-0%