Alico, Inc.

www.alicoinc.com

Earnings Score
Moat Score
Safety Score

Market Cap $206.52M
PE 32
Debt $85.13M
Cash $3.40M
EV $288.25M
FCF -$48.37M

Earnings

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Sales & Net Margins

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Earnings	$6.36M
EBIT	$10.95M
ROE	2%
ROA	3%
FCF	-$48.37M
Equity	$256.30M
Growth Stability	7%
PE	32.5
PEG	-2.42
PB	0.81
P/FCF	-4.27
P/S	4.43
Price/Cash	0.02
Debt/Equity	0.33
Debt/FCF	-1.76
Net Margins	14%
Gross Margins	-121%
Op. Margins	23%
Earnings CAGR	10%
Sales Growth YoY	38%
Sales Growth QoQ	-93%
Sales CAGR	-12%
FCF CAGR	-0%
Equity CAGR	6%
Earnings Stability	0.09
Earnings Growth YoY	-2K%
Earnings Growth QoQ	851%

Earnings CAGR 5Y	-13%
Sales CAGR 5Y	-21%
Equity CAGR 5Y	6%
Earnings CAGR 3Y	-34%
Sales CAGR 3Y	-34%
Equity CAGR 3Y	2%
Market Cap	$206.52M
Revenue	$46.64M
Dividend Yield	1%
Payout Ratio	24%
Assets	$398.72M
Total Debt	$85.13M
Cash	$3.40M
Shares Outstanding	7.62M
EV	288.25M
Earnings Score	7%
Moat Score	48%
Safety Score	36%
Final Score	30%
Working Capital	29.98M
Current Ratio	3.81
Gross Profit	-$56.38M
Shares Growth 3y	0%
Equity Growth QoQ	-7%
Equity Growth YoY	2%

Assets & ROA

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Stockholders Equity & ROE

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Alico Inc is a Florida-based agribusiness and land management company that primarily focuses on citrus production and grove conservation. The company operates through two primary business units: Alico Citrus and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment engages in cultivation of citrus trees and delivers citrus to the processed and fresh citrus markets. It mainly serves the processed market and sells primarily Hamlin oranges and the Valencia variety to the orange juice processors. The Land Management and Other Operations segment engages in land leasing for recreational, conservation, and mining activities. Alico Citrus delivers most of the revenue as the firm's primary operating business unit.

SEC Filings

Direct access to Alico, Inc. (ALCO) Annual Reports (10K) and Quarterly Reports (10Q) from the SEC website.

2024
- 10-K Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2023
- 10-Q Dec 31
- 10-K Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31
2022
- 10-Q Dec 31
- 10-K Sep 30
- 10-Q Jun 30
- 10-Q Mar 31

Sector Comparison

How does Alico, Inc. compare to its competitors?

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Peter Lynch's Chart

This chart shows the current pricing of Alico, Inc. compared to its past. The addition of the earnings trend line provides further insights into the company's earnings power.

CAGR 10%

Stability 9%

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Alico, Inc. Discounted Cash Flow

Fully customizable DCF calculator online for Alico, Inc..

Years

Calculation mode

= -$468M

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	TV
fcf	-$48M	-$48M	-$48M	-$48M	-$47M	-$47M	-$47M	-$47M	-$46M	-$46M	-$46M	-$460M
DCF		-$44M	-$40M	-$36M	-$32M	-$29M	-$26M	-$24M	-$22M	-$20M	-$18M	-$177M
Value	-$468M

Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years	09/2015	09/2016	09/2017	09/2018	09/2019	09/2020	09/2021	09/2022	09/2023	09/2024	TTM
Net Margins	10%	5%	-7%	16%	31%	26%	32%	13%	4%	14%	14%
ROA	-	5%	2%	3%	12%	7%	11%	3%	1%	3%	3%
ROE	-	4%	-6%	7%	19%	11%	14%	5%	1%	2%	2%

Good Net Margins (13.62%)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Safety and Stability

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years	09/2015	09/2016	09/2017	09/2018	09/2019	09/2020	09/2021	09/2022	09/2023	09/2024	TTM
Debt over FCF	-	12.6	12.84	66.45	5.85	-7.12	-4.96	-7.6	-4.63	-1.76	-1.76
Debt over Equity	1.18	1.13	1.16	1.01	0.85	0.66	0.51	0.44	0.43	0.33	0.33
Growth Stability	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	100%	37%	7%	39%	7%

Good Debt/FCF ratio (-1.76)

Net Margins are high enough to offer a good protection on the profits in case of higher costs or higher interests. Furthermore higher margins reduce earnings’ volatility.

Good Debt/Equity ratio (0.33)

The company is not overleveraged and has a good balance between equity and debt.

Bad Graham’s Stability (7%)

The company has a bad stability in its earnings, which is a sign of a bad competitive advantage.

Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years	09/2015	09/2016	09/2017	09/2018	09/2019	09/2020	09/2021	09/2022	09/2023	09/2024	CAGR 5Y
Revenue YoY growth	-	-6%	-10%	-37%	50%	-24%	17%	-15%	-57%	17%	-21%
Earnings YoY growth	-	-56%	-236%	-235%	193%	-37%	47%	-66%	-86%	283%	-13%
Equity YoY growth	-	0%	-7%	7%	12%	11%	12%	1%	1%	2%	6%
FCF YoY growth	-	-27%	-7%	-82%	967%	-172%	22%	-43%	60%	110%	-