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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

AJG

Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service

Mkt Cap

$50.24B

PE

52.01

Debt

$7.676B

Cash

$971.5M

EV

$56.95B

FCF

-

Market Cap

$50.24B

P/E Ratio

52.01

Debt

$7.676B

Cash

$971.5M

EV

$56.95B

FCF

-
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":303400000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":356800000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":414400000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":463100000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":633500000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":668800000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":818800000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":906800000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":1114200000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":966000000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":4626500000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":5392400000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":5594800000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":6159600000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":6934000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":7195000000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":7003600000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":8209400000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":8550600000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":10071900000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.06557873122230629},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.06616719827905941},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.07406877815114034},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.07518345347100461},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.09136140755696567},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.09295343988881168},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.1169113027585813},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.11045874241722903},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.13030664514770893},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.09591040419384625}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":10010000000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":10913800000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":11489600000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":12897400000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":16334000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":19634800000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":22331400000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":33345000000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":38907800000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":51615800000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3305100000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":3688200000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":3655800000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":4164900000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":4569700000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":5215500000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":6232700000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":8560100000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":9190200000},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":10815300000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.09179752503706393},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.09674095764871753},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.11335412221675147},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.11119114504549929},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.13863054467470512},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.12823315118397086},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.13137163669035892},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.10593334190021145},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.12123784030815433},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.08931791073756623}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.03560439560439561},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.03633015081823013},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.04061934270992898},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":0.03893808054336533},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":0.03782294600220399},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":0.04104447205981217},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.047793689602980555},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.029242765032238716},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.0341062717501375},{"time":"2023-12-30","value":0.022960023868660372}]}

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to businesses and organizations worldwide. It operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. The Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment also performs activities, including marketing, underwriting, issuing policies, collecting premiums, appointing and supervising other agents, paying claims, and negotiating reinsurance; and offers services in the areas of insurance and reinsurance placement, risk of loss management, and management of employer sponsored benefit programs. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services; and claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. The company offers its services through a network of correspondent brokers and consultants. It serves commercial, industrial, public, religious, and not-for-profit entities, as well as underwriting enterprises. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.

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In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth 17%
Earnings Stability 95%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Net Margin6.6%7.4%7.5%9.1%9.3%12%11%13%9.6%9.6%
ROA3.6%4.1%3.9%3.8%4.1%4.8%2.9%3.4%2.3%2.3%
ROE9.7%11%11%14%13%13%11%12%8.9%8.9%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is +10.63%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +0.37%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is +3.55%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is -0.32%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is +11.91%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is -0.84%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-202212-2023TTM
Debt FCF4.196.31--------
Debt Equity0.630.740.720.760.850.700.710.640.710.71
MIN
Graham Stability--100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at 1.00.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201612-201812-202012-2022Trend
Revenue8.8%7.8%13%18%0.086%
Net Income13%8.8%5.7%-13%-2%
Stockholders Equity17%19%20%18%1.8%
FCF-----95%

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +7.75%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.09%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is +8.8%.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is -2%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is +18.8%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is +1.76%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -94.57%.