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Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd

AHL-PC

Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Mkt Cap

$1.564B

PE

5.95

Debt

$299.9M

Cash

$1.062B

EV

$802M

FCF

-

Market Cap

$1.564B

P/E Ratio

5.95

Debt

$299.9M

Cash

$1.062B

EV

$802M

FCF

-
Charts data: {"Earnings":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":317200000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":284500000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":161500000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":-311900000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-177300000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-241700000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-40100000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":29800000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":51100000}],"Sales":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":2646400000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":2753400000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":2938500000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2653400000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2531900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2592600000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2835500000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2628900000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2890000000}],"Net Margins":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.11986094316807738},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.10332679596135687},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.054960013612387275},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":-0.11754729780658778},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.07002646234053478},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.09322687649463858},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.014142126609063657},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.01133553957929172},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.017681660899653978}],"Assets":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":10716300000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":11048800000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":12090100000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":12906400000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":12532900000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":12580500000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":13185400000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":13844100000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":15157300000}],"Stockholders Equity":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":3419300000},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":3419900000},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":3648300000},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":2928500000},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":2656000000},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":2725500000},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":2997600000},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":2774800000},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":2358000000}],"ROE":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.09276752551691866},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.08318956694640194},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.04426719293917715},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":-0.10650503670821239},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.06675451807228916},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.08868097596771235},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":-0.01337736856151588},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.010739512757676229},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.021670907548770144}],"ROA":[{"time":"2014-12-30","value":0.03708369493201945},{"time":"2015-12-30","value":0.03321627688074723},{"time":"2016-12-30","value":0.019768240130354588},{"time":"2017-12-30","value":-0.019548441083493462},{"time":"2018-12-30","value":-0.010380678055358297},{"time":"2019-12-30","value":-0.01578633599618457},{"time":"2020-12-30","value":0.00018201950642377174},{"time":"2021-12-30","value":0.003568307076660816},{"time":"2022-12-30","value":0.0011017793406477407}]}

Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in insurance and reinsurance businesses in Australia/Asia, the Caribbean, Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. Its insurance products include U.S. primary casualty, excess casualty, environmental, international, and railroad liability; cyber, management, and professional indemnity and lines liability; inland and ocean marine; U.S property; and credit and political risks, crisis management, energy and construction, UK property and construction, and specie insurances. The company's reinsurance products include agriculture, engineering and technical lines, marine, energy and terrorism, mortgage, special risks, property, and casualty insurances. It distributes its products primarily through brokers and reinsurance intermediaries. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Highlands Bermuda Holdco, Ltd.

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In the chart Earnings are multiplied by this value.

Earnings Growth -23%
Earnings Stability -58%


Competitiveness and MOAT

High margins render the company resilient under dire circumstances, hence able to drive competitors out or acquire them. ROE and ROA measure the average flow generated by each invested dollar. Their marginal value is a forecast of future growth, and it is considered by Buffett and Munger the most important single indicator.

Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
Net Margin12%10%5.5%-12%-7%-9.3%-1.4%1.1%1.8%730%
ROA3.7%3.3%2%-2%-1%-1.6%0.018%0.36%0.11%2.3%
ROE9.3%8.3%4.4%-11%-6.7%-8.9%-1.3%1.1%2.2%10%

What is the average Net Margin?

The average Net Margin over the past 5 years is -4.43%.

What is the trend of Net Margin?

The trend of Net Margin over the past 5 years is +2.86%.

What is the average Return on Assets (ROA)?

The average ROA over the past 5 years is -0.68%.

What is the trend of Return on Assets (ROA)?

The trend of ROA over the past 5 years is +0.46%.

What is the average Return on Equity (ROE)?

The average ROE over the past 5 years is -4.05%.

What is the trend of Return on Equity (ROE)?

The trend of ROE over the past 5 years is +2.71%.


Safety & Stabiliy

Being debt the number one cause of investment losses and company death, the ratio Debt/FCF is of utmost importance to guarantee safety. On the other hand the Graham’s stability measures the drawdown of earnings, hence indicating the reliability of the flow generated by the company.

Years12-201412-201512-201612-201712-201812-201912-202012-202112-2022TTM
Debt FCF----------
Debt Equity0.160.160.150.190.160.110.100.110.130.12
MIN
Graham Stability----120%-400%-----400%

What is the Debt/FCF?

The Debt/FCF trailing twelve month is -.

What is the trend of Debt/FCF?

The trend of Debt/FCF over the past 5 years is -.

What is the Graham’s Stability?

Graham’s Stability measure stands at -3.97.


Growth

Growth can be dangerous when forecasting, simply projecting the current growth is in general wrong. A company passes through multiple phases, from being young and unprofitable, to the first periods of profitability and high growth, until it arrives at a period of regime with limited growth. Identifying in which phase the company is in may help forecasting.

Years12-201512-201712-201912-2021Trend
Revenue0.69%1.7%3.7%9.9%0.42%
Net Income-22%--71%14%
Stockholders Equity-5.2%-4.2%-4.7%-15%-0.89%
FCF-----

What is the 5 year Revenue CAGR?

The Revenue CAGR over the past 5 years is +1.72%.

What is the trend of Revenue growth?

The trend of Revenue growth rate over the past 5 years is +0.42%.

What is the 5 year Earnings CAGR?

The Earnings CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of Earnings growth?

The trend of Earnings growth rate over the past 5 years is +14.28%.

What is the 5 year Equity CAGR?

The Equity CAGR over the past 5 years is -4.24%.

What is the trend of Equity growth?

The trend of Equity growth rate over the past 5 years is -0.89%.

What is the 5 year FCF CAGR?

The FCF CAGR over the past 5 years is -.

What is the trend of FCF growth?

The trend of FCF growth rate over the past 5 years is -.